Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rohda Raalte vs Ajax (Am)

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
ten Den T.
19' Event
Correia T.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2024/2025 game between Rohda Raalte and Ajax (Am) finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Rohda Raalte
15%
Draws
0%
Ajax (Am)
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rohda Raalte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Rohda Raalte carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Rohda Raalte's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Rohda Raalte Clean Sheet 20%
Ajax (Am) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rohda Raalte Ajax (Am)
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 16 6
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.57 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.51 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Derde Divisie
Rohda Raalte vs Ajax (Am)
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 Derde Divisie
Ajax (Am) vs Rohda Raalte
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rohda Raalte Compare

Top Goalscorer ten Den T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Ajax (Am) Compare

Top Goalscorer Correia T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rohda Raalte 76 / 100
Ajax (Am) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rohda Raalte Ajax (Am)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rohda Raalte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rohda Raalte found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (35 games).

Ajax (Am) let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Ajax (Am) registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rohda Raalte VS Ajax (Am)
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rohda Raalte

(Home)
23 Sept
TOGB
4 : 6
Rohda Raalte
19 Sept
Rohda Raalte
0 : 1
IJsselmeervogels
12 Sept
Quick Boys
3 : 1
Rohda Raalte
05 Sept
Rohda Raalte
1 : 2
Kozakken Boys
29 Aug
AFC
2 : 0
Rohda Raalte
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Ajax (Am)

(Away)
02 Sept
VVSB
2 : 0
Ajax (Am)
29 Jul
Ajax (Am)
3 : 4
Jong Almere City
04 Jun
Ajax (Am)
0 : 1
Kampong
31 May
Kampong
4 : 2
Ajax (Am)
24 May
Genemuiden
1 : 0
Ajax (Am)
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IJsselmeervogels 34 26 4 4 98:35 82
2 Harkemase Boys 34 21 7 6 74:46 70
3 Sportlust 34 20 7 7 78:37 67
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 19 8 7 78:52 65
5 Sparta Nijkerk 34 16 10 8 68:50 58
6 USV Hercules 34 16 6 12 65:56 54
7 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 43:39 52
8 Genemuiden 34 13 9 12 52:44 48
9 Urk 34 15 2 17 56:67 47
10 Eemdijk 34 11 10 13 64:66 43
11 TEC 34 11 9 14 46:56 42
12 Rohda Raalte 34 11 7 16 63:68 40
13 HSC '21 34 12 4 18 50:66 40
14 Huizen 34 10 6 18 44:62 36
15 Excelsior 31 34 9 9 16 46:71 36
16 Ajax (Am) 34 9 8 17 48:64 35
17 DEM 34 8 6 20 43:85 30
18 HBC 34 1 7 26 40:92 10
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HSV Hoek 34 20 10 4 77:33 70
2 Kozakken Boys 34 19 7 8 72:29 64
3 Blauw Geel 34 19 7 8 73:45 64
4 VV Kloetinge 34 18 7 9 66:42 61
5 Gemert 34 17 7 10 57:50 58
6 Lisse 34 15 9 10 55:41 54
7 UNA 34 15 8 11 51:48 53
8 VVSB 34 15 6 13 61:61 51
9 SteDoCo 34 13 9 12 57:46 48
10 Meerssen 34 13 6 15 44:50 45
11 Rijnvogels 34 13 6 15 63:72 45
12 ASWH 34 12 6 16 59:73 42
13 TOGB 34 11 8 15 55:53 41
14 GOES 34 9 12 13 53:65 39
15 OJC Rosmalen 34 11 6 17 45:58 39
16 FC 's-Gravenzande 34 9 7 18 51:69 34
17 Smitshoek 34 6 7 21 53:94 25
18 HV & CV Quick 34 5 4 25 42:105 19
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)