Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Rohda Raalte in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rohda Raalte.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Urk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Rohda Raalte lately — more wins on the board than Urk.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Rohda Raalte have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Rohda Raalte Clean Sheet 10%
Urk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rohda Raalte | Urk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 2.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.66 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 17, 2026 Derde Divisie
Rohda Raalte vs Urk
3:1
Aug 16, 2025 Derde Divisie
Urk vs Rohda Raalte
1:5
May 24, 2025 Derde Divisie
Rohda Raalte vs Urk
4:6
Dec 14, 2024 Derde Divisie
Urk vs Rohda Raalte
0:5
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rohda Raalte 34 / 100
Urk 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rohda Raalte Urk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Urk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rohda Raalte found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Urk let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 6.25 goals when they meet.
Urk's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Rohda Raalte VS Urk
0.88 Goals Scored 1.86
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.43
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 86%
13% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
Rohda Raalte
(Home) 12 Sept
Quick Boys
3 : 1 Rohda Raalte
05 Sept
Rohda Raalte
1 : 2 Kozakken Boys
29 Aug
AFC
2 : 0 Rohda Raalte
23 Aug
Rohda Raalte
0 : 3 De Treffers
15 Aug
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
6 : 1 Rohda Raalte
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05 Sept
Rohda Raalte
1 : 2 Kozakken Boys
23 Aug
Rohda Raalte
0 : 3 De Treffers
16 May
Rohda Raalte
0 : 1 TEC
25 Apr
Rohda Raalte
2 : 1 USV Hercules
02 Apr
Rohda Raalte
0 : 0 VV DOVO
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Urk
(Away) 23 May
Urk
1 : 2 Excelsior 31
16 May
HSC '21
1 : 1 Urk
09 May
Urk
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
02 May
Harkemase Boys
2 : 3 Urk
25 Apr
Genemuiden
3 : 0 Urk
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16 May
HSC '21
1 : 1 Urk
02 May
Harkemase Boys
2 : 3 Urk
25 Apr
Genemuiden
3 : 0 Urk
11 Apr
Eemdijk
5 : 3 Urk
21 Mar
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 2 Urk
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
