Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Westfalen 2016/2017

ASC 09 Dortmund

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Roland Beckum play ASC 09 Dortmund in the Oberliga Westfalen 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Roland Beckum averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. ASC 09 Dortmund averaged 2.3 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. In past meetings, Roland Beckum won 2, ASC 09 Dortmund won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 17, 2017 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Roland Beckum and 2.17 for ASC 09 Dortmund. This points to a ASC 09 Dortmund double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Roland Beckum

19%

Draws

47%

ASC 09 Dortmund

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: ASC 09 Dortmund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Roland Beckum picked up more points recently compared to ASC 09 Dortmund.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 2.17 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Roland Beckum Clean Sheet 10%

ASC 09 Dortmund Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Roland Beckum	ASC 09 Dortmund
Matches Played	29	37
Wins	11	20
Draws	2	10
Losses	16	7
Goals Scored	1.14	2.3
Goals Conceded	1.9	1.32

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2017 Oberliga Westfalen

Roland Beckum vs ASC 09 Dortmund

Possession: 45% - 49% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Oct 23, 2016 Oberliga Westfalen

ASC 09 Dortmund vs Roland Beckum

Possession: 58% - 56% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Mar 6, 2016 Oberliga Westfalen

Roland Beckum vs ASC 09 Dortmund

Possession: 56% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Sep 5, 2015 Oberliga Westfalen

ASC 09 Dortmund vs Roland Beckum

Possession: 58% - 44% Cards: 0 - 3

3:1

May 25, 2015 Oberliga Westfalen

Roland Beckum vs ASC 09 Dortmund

Possession: 59% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roland Beckum 33 / 100

ASC 09 Dortmund 45 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Roland Beckum ASC 09 Dortmund

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: ASC 09 Dortmund or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +30.9%

3.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Roland Beckum attacking → ← attacking ASC 09 Dortmund

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roland Beckum scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

ASC 09 Dortmund let in goals in 78% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Roland Beckum went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

ASC 09 Dortmund lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 70

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 3.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Erndtebruck	34	19	10	5	73:34	67
2	Westfalia Rhynern	34	19	7	8	62:41	64
3	Hammer SpVgg.	34	19	5	10	56:40	62
4	Marl-Huls	34	16	8	10	74:62	56
5	Eintracht Rheine	34	17	5	12	61:52	56
6	Lippstadt	34	16	7	11	60:43	55
7	1.FC Kaan-Marienborn	34	12	12	10	38:40	48
8	SC Hassel	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
9	TUS Ennepetal	34	11	12	11	39:46	45
10	Gutersloh	34	11	10	13	53:55	43
11	Brunninghausen	34	11	10	13	45:47	43
12	Paderborn II	34	12	7	15	46:50	43
13	Arminia Bielefeld II	34	11	9	14	48:42	42
14	ASC 09 Dortmund	34	10	11	13	61:61	41
15	Neuenkirchen	34	10	11	13	60:67	41
16	Roland Beckum	34	12	5	17	38:56	41
17	SUS Stadtlohn	34	7	10	17	40:63	31
18	Erkenschwick	34	4	7	23	33:83	19