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Rolandia EC vs Araucaria

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 3 2025
Rolandia EC Logo

Rolandia EC

3 - 2
FT
Araucaria Logo

Araucaria

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rolandia EC play Araucaria in the Paranaense 3 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rolandia EC averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. Araucaria averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Rolandia EC won 1, Araucaria won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 3, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Rolandia EC and 1.19 for Araucaria. This points to a Rolandia EC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Rolandia EC
27%
Draws
31%
Araucaria
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Rolandia EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Rolandia EC picked up more points recently compared to Araucaria.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Rolandia EC Clean Sheet 20%
Araucaria Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rolandia EC Araucaria
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2025 Paranaense 3
Araucaria vs Rolandia EC
3:0
Sep 10, 2025 Paranaense 3
Rolandia EC vs Araucaria
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rolandia EC 42 / 100
Araucaria 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rolandia EC Araucaria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rolandia EC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rolandia EC attacking → ← attacking Araucaria

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rolandia EC scored in 75% of their last 20 games.

Araucaria let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Rolandia EC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Araucaria lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 38
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Prudentopolis844014:616
2Rolandia EC843112:915
3Araucaria842220:1114
4Iraty821510:197
5Hope Internacional80265:162
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CA Cambe63218:411
2City London62316:79
3Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense60245:122
4Gremio Maringa623111:7-4
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Uniao PR63125:510
2Vere FC62228:58
3Oeste Brasil62228:98
4Campo Mourao61326:86