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Rolandia EC vs Campo Mourao Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Cassio
56' Event
Gelton Francisco
70' Event
Reis O.

AI Match Summary

The Paranaense 3 2024 game between Rolandia EC and Campo Mourao finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rolandia EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Rolandia EC
30%
Draws
16%
Campo Mourao
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rolandia EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Rolandia EC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Rolandia EC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Paranaense 3 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Rolandia EC Clean Sheet 20%
Campo Mourao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rolandia EC Campo Mourao
Matches Played 20 18
Wins 9 4
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.55 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2024 Paranaense 3
Campo Mourao vs Rolandia EC
4:2
Sep 4, 2024 Paranaense 3
Rolandia EC vs Campo Mourao
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rolandia EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gelton Francisco
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reis O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Campo Mourao Compare

Top Goalscorer Cassio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rolandia EC 85 / 100
Campo Mourao 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rolandia EC Campo Mourao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rolandia EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Campo Mourao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 18 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Rolandia EC scored in 75% of their last 20 outings.

Recent resilience: Rolandia EC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rolandia EC VS Campo Mourao
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rolandia EC

(Home)
26 Oct
Rolandia EC
2 : 2
Vere FC
19 Oct
Vere FC
1 : 0
Rolandia EC
03 Oct
Araucaria
3 : 0
Rolandia EC
28 Sept
Rolandia EC
3 : 2
Iraty
24 Sept
Hope Internacional
0 : 1
Rolandia EC
Page 1 of 4

Campo Mourao

(Away)
30 Aug
Uniao PR
2 : 0
Campo Mourao
16 Aug
Campo Mourao
1 : 1
Oeste Brasil
08 Aug
Campo Mourao
1 : 1
Uniao PR
26 Jul
Oeste Brasil
2 : 0
Campo Mourao
05 Oct
Oeste Brasil
2 : 0
Campo Mourao
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Batel 8 5 1 2 14:8 16
2 Hope Internacional 8 3 3 2 7:4 12
3 Iraty 8 3 3 2 7:8 12
4 Araucaria 8 2 2 4 7:9 8
5 Prudentopolis 8 1 3 4 5:11 6
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arapongas 8 6 1 1 24:5 19
2 Rolandia EC 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
3 Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense 8 3 2 3 8:8 11
4 Campo Mourao 8 3 1 4 18:15 10
5 CA Cambe 8 0 1 7 3:31 1
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vere FC 6 4 0 2 11:8 12
2 Toledo 6 4 0 2 9:7 12
3 Oeste Brasil 6 3 0 3 10:5 9
4 Uniao PR 6 1 0 5 1:11 3
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams