Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Roma City vs Atletico Ascoli

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Olivieri D.
56' Event
Icardi S.
82' Event
Marchi A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 game between Roma City and Atletico Ascoli finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Roma City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Roma City
35%
Draws
40%
Atletico Ascoli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atletico Ascoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico Ascoli come out ahead of Roma City on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Roma City Clean Sheet 17%
Atletico Ascoli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roma City Atletico Ascoli
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 7 15
Draws 9 12
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.87 1.51
Goals Conceded 0.93 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Roma City vs Atletico Ascoli
2:1
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Atletico Ascoli vs Roma City
1:0
Feb 25, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Atletico Ascoli vs Roma City
0:1
Oct 22, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Roma City vs Atletico Ascoli
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roma City Compare

Top Goalscorer Icardi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marchi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Atletico Ascoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Olivieri D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roma City 36 / 100
Atletico Ascoli 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roma City Atletico Ascoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Ascoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roma City's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Atletico Ascoli let in goals in 69% of their last 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Roma City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Atletico Ascoli
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Roma City

(Home)
11 May
AS Sora
1 : 0
Roma City
04 May
Roma City
1 : 1
Vigor Senigallia
27 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0
Roma City
17 Apr
Roma City
1 : 0
Isernia
13 Apr
Castelfidardo
0 : 0
Roma City
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Ascoli

(Away)
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
Sporting Trestina
16 Sept
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0
Atletico Ascoli
13 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
2 : 1
Maceratese
06 Sept
Angelana
2 : 1
Atletico Ascoli
08 Aug
Pineto
1 : 1
Atletico Ascoli
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sambenedettese 34 21 9 4 61:21 72
2 Aquila Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:31 62
3 Teramo 34 17 9 8 51:33 60
4 Calcio Chieti 34 16 11 7 52:39 58
5 Fossombrone 34 12 14 8 44:36 50
6 Ancona 34 13 8 13 35:40 47
7 Avezzano 34 13 7 14 41:43 46
8 Castelfidardo 34 12 9 13 39:34 45
9 Atletico Ascoli 34 10 13 11 35:39 43
10 Vigor Senigallia 34 9 15 10 36:38 42
11 Termoli 34 9 14 11 37:44 41
12 Recanatese 34 10 10 14 42:53 40
13 AS Sora 34 9 13 12 32:39 40
14 Notaresco Calcio 34 10 8 16 37:45 38
15 Civitanovese Calcio 34 8 13 13 31:39 37
16 Roma City 34 8 11 15 32:36 35
17 Isernia 34 8 10 16 32:57 34
18 Fermana 34 6 11 17 24:42 27
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Out)