Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group F 2024/2025

Sambenedettese

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Roma City play Sambenedettese in the Serie D - Group F 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Roma City averaged 0.87 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Sambenedettese averaged 0.69 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Roma City won 0, Sambenedettese won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Feb 9, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Roma City and 0.93 for Sambenedettese. This points to a Sambenedettese double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Roma City

35%

Draws

33%

Sambenedettese

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sambenedettese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Roma City picked up more points recently compared to Sambenedettese.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 0.93 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 28%

Over 3.5 Goals 17%

Over 4.5 Goals 8%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Roma City Clean Sheet 24%

Sambenedettese Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 45%

Second Half Goal 48%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Roma City	Sambenedettese
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	7	5
Draws	9	12
Losses	14	12
Goals Scored	0.87	0.69
Goals Conceded	0.93	1.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group F

Roma City vs Sambenedettese

Possession: 43% - 44% Cards: 2 - 4

0:0

Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group F

Sambenedettese vs Roma City

Possession: 47% - 53% Cards: 0 - 1

2:1

Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group F

Sambenedettese vs Roma City

Possession: 45% - 53% Cards: 3 - 0

1:1

Dec 16, 2023 Serie D - Group F

Roma City vs Sambenedettese

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Mar 12, 2023 Serie D - Group F

Roma City vs Sambenedettese

Possession: 50% - 48% Cards: 4 - 0

0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roma City 34 / 100

Sambenedettese 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Roma City Sambenedettese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sambenedettese or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +27.4%

4.55

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Roma City attacking → ← attacking Sambenedettese

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roma City scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Sambenedettese let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Roma City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sambenedettese lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 27

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sambenedettese	34	21	9	4	61:21	72
2	Aquila Calcio	34	17	11	6	48:31	62
3	Teramo	34	17	9	8	51:33	60
4	Calcio Chieti	34	16	11	7	52:39	58
5	Fossombrone	34	12	14	8	44:36	50
6	Ancona	34	13	8	13	35:40	47
7	Avezzano	34	13	7	14	41:43	46
8	Castelfidardo	34	12	9	13	39:34	45
9	Atletico Ascoli	34	10	13	11	35:39	43
10	Vigor Senigallia	34	9	15	10	36:38	42
11	Termoli	34	9	14	11	37:44	41
12	Recanatese	34	10	10	14	42:53	40
13	AS Sora	34	9	13	12	32:39	40
14	Notaresco Calcio	34	10	8	16	37:45	38
15	Civitanovese Calcio	34	8	13	13	31:39	37
16	Roma City	34	8	11	15	32:36	35
17	Isernia	34	8	10	16	32:57	34
18	Fermana	34	6	11	17	24:42	27