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Roma City vs Termoli Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Esposito A.
45' Event
Trasciani D.
70' Event
Keita C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Roma City
30%
Draws
31%
Termoli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Roma City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Roma City average 0.87 goals a game right now, well clear of Termoli's 0.69.
  • Roma City are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Roma City Clean Sheet 68%
Termoli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roma City Termoli
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 16
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.87 0.69
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Roma City vs Termoli
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Roma City
1:0
Jan 28, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Roma City vs Termoli
0:0
Oct 1, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Roma City
2:4
Feb 5, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Roma City
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roma City Compare

Top Goalscorer Trasciani D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Termoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Keita C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roma City 51 / 100
Termoli 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roma City Termoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Roma City scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Termoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Roma City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Termoli
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Roma City

(Home)
11 May
AS Sora
1 : 0
Roma City
04 May
Roma City
1 : 1
Vigor Senigallia
27 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0
Roma City
17 Apr
Roma City
1 : 0
Isernia
13 Apr
Castelfidardo
0 : 0
Roma City
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Termoli

(Away)
27 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 0
Termoli
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Giulianova
0 : 0
Termoli
13 Sept
Termoli
1 : 0
Angelana
06 Sept
Aquila Calcio
1 : 0
Termoli
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sambenedettese 34 21 9 4 61:21 72
2 Aquila Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:31 62
3 Teramo 34 17 9 8 51:33 60
4 Calcio Chieti 34 16 11 7 52:39 58
5 Fossombrone 34 12 14 8 44:36 50
6 Ancona 34 13 8 13 35:40 47
7 Avezzano 34 13 7 14 41:43 46
8 Castelfidardo 34 12 9 13 39:34 45
9 Atletico Ascoli 34 10 13 11 35:39 43
10 Vigor Senigallia 34 9 15 10 36:38 42
11 Termoli 34 9 14 11 37:44 41
12 Recanatese 34 10 10 14 42:53 40
13 AS Sora 34 9 13 12 32:39 40
14 Notaresco Calcio 34 10 8 16 37:45 38
15 Civitanovese Calcio 34 8 13 13 31:39 37
16 Roma City 34 8 11 15 32:36 35
17 Isernia 34 8 10 16 32:57 34
18 Fermana 34 6 11 17 24:42 27
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Out)