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Romagna Centro vs Montevarchi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 game between Romagna Centro and Montevarchi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Romagna Centro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Romagna Centro
20%
Draws
51%
Montevarchi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Montevarchi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Romagna Centro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Romagna Centro Clean Sheet 68%
Montevarchi Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Romagna Centro Montevarchi
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 9
Draws 11 14
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.27 0.58
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Romagna Centro vs Montevarchi
1:0
Oct 28, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Montevarchi vs Romagna Centro
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Romagna Centro 41 / 100
Montevarchi 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Romagna Centro Montevarchi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Romagna Centro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Romagna Centro's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Montevarchi has conceded goals in 45% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Romagna Centro remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Montevarchi
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Romagna Centro

(Home)
06 May
Romagna Centro
2 : 0
Castelvetro
29 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1
Romagna Centro
22 Apr
Romagna Centro
0 : 2
Pianese
15 Apr
Rimini
3 : 2
Romagna Centro
08 Apr
Romagna Centro
1 : 2
Fiorenzuola
Page 1 of 6

Montevarchi

(Away)
19 Aug
Montevarchi
0 : 0
Figline
13 Aug
Montevarchi
1 : 0
Grassina
05 Aug
Pianese
2 : 0
Montevarchi
03 May
Prato
1 : 0
Montevarchi
26 Apr
Montevarchi
1 : 0
Ghiviborgo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rimini 38 23 11 4 65:38 80
2 Imolese 38 21 8 9 72:45 71
3 Forli FC 38 18 11 9 60:43 65
4 Fiorenzuola 38 16 16 6 50:32 64
5 Sangiovannese 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
6 Lentigione 38 16 12 10 45:33 60
7 Villabiagio 38 17 8 13 52:49 59
8 Pianese 38 14 16 8 54:35 58
9 Montevarchi 38 16 8 14 42:40 56
10 Romagna Centro 38 14 12 12 49:42 54
11 Sammaurese 38 14 12 12 34:29 54
12 Sasso Marconi 38 11 12 15 35:48 45
13 Vigor Carpaneto 38 9 18 11 50:48 45
14 Tuttocuoio 38 10 12 16 25:34 42
15 Sporting Trestina 38 10 11 17 36:52 41
16 Castelvetro 38 10 8 20 46:62 38
17 Mezzolara 38 7 15 16 34:50 36
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 38 7 12 19 40:62 33
19 Correggese 38 6 14 18 37:55 32
20 Colligiana 38 7 8 23 27:60 29
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 (Play Offs)