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Romania U21 vs Portugal U21

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Neto P.
24' Event
Sousa A.
36' Event
Neto P.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2023 game between Romania U21 and Portugal U21 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portugal U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Romania U21
15%
Draws
50%
Portugal U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portugal U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Portugal U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Portugal U21 a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Romania U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Portugal U21 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Romania U21 Portugal U21
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 20
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.25 3
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2025 Friendly International
Portugal U21 vs Romania U21
0:1
Mar 24, 2023 Friendly International
Romania U21 vs Portugal U21
0:2
Sep 7, 2018 Euro U21
Portugal U21 vs Romania U21
1:2
Nov 10, 2017 Euro U21
Romania U21 vs Portugal U21
1:1
Mar 25, 2011 Friendly International
Portugal U21 vs Romania U21
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Romania U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Portugal U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Neto P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Romania U21 10 / 100
Portugal U21 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Romania U21 Portugal U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Romania U21's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Romania U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Portugal U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 43% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Romania U21 VS Portugal U21
1 Goals Scored 4
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Romania U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Romania U21
3 : 0
San Marino U21
27 Mar
Kosovo U21
0 : 1
Romania U21
18 Nov
Romania U21
0 : 2
Spain U21
14 Nov
Finland U21
2 : 0
Romania U21
14 Oct
Romania U21
2 : 0
Cyprus U21
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Portugal U21

(Away)
03 Jun
Portugal U21
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
31 Mar
Portugal U21
3 : 0
Scotland U21
27 Mar
Azerbaijan U21
0 : 4
Portugal U21
18 Nov
Czech Republic U21
0 : 0
Portugal U21
14 Oct
Gibraltar U21
0 : 11
Portugal U21
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