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Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Arena Nationala, Bucharest
Romania Logo

Romania

2 - 4
FT
Bosnia & Herzegovina Logo

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gigovic A.
Assist: Bajraktarevic E.
16'
Mahmic E.
19' Event
Muharemovic T.
Assist: Basic I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bosnia & Herzegovina in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bosnia & Herzegovina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Romania
20%
Draws
58%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bosnia & Herzegovina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Romania lately — more wins on the board than Bosnia & Herzegovina.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Bosnia & Herzegovina taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bosnia & Herzegovina have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Romania Clean Sheet 11%
Bosnia & Herzegovina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Romania Bosnia & Herzegovina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
2:4
Nov 15, 2025 World Championship
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania
3:1
Mar 21, 2025 World Championship
Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
0:1
Sep 26, 2022 UEFA Nations League
Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
4:1
Jun 7, 2022 UEFA Nations League
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Romania Compare

Top Goalscorer Birligea D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cicaldau A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Bosnia & Herzegovina Compare

Top Goalscorer Gigovic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muharemovic T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Romania 10 / 100
Bosnia & Herzegovina 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Romania Bosnia & Herzegovina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bosnia & Herzegovina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Romania's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bosnia & Herzegovina let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Romania has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Romania VS Bosnia & Herzegovina
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Romania

(Home)
05 Oct
Romania
0 : 1
Sweden
02 Oct
Poland
6 : 0
Romania
28 Sept
Romania
2 : 4
Bosnia & Herzegovina
25 Sept
Sweden
2 : 1
Romania
06 Jun
Romania
2 : 1
Wales
Page 1 of 6

Bosnia & Herzegovina

(Away)
05 Oct
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1 : 0
Poland
02 Oct
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1 : 1
Sweden
28 Sept
Romania
2 : 4
Bosnia & Herzegovina
25 Sept
Poland
0 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina
02 Jul
USA
2 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 Slovenia 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Scotland 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 North Macedonia 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Ireland 4 2 2 0 4:0 8
2 Hungary 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
3 Ukraine 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
4 Georgia 4 0 2 2 0:2 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
2 Kosovo 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
3 Ireland 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
4 Israel 4 0 2 2 2:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
3 Poland 4 1 1 2 7:4 4
4 Romania 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)