Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Romania vs San Marino

World World

World Championship 2026 Arena Nationala, Bucharest
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Giacopetti N.
13' Event
Rossi D.
Own Goal
29' Event
Baiaram S.
Assist: Tanase F.

AI Match Summary

Romania in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 7-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Romania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Romania
6%
Draws
4%
San Marino
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Romania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Romania have won more games recently than San Marino.
  • Romania are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Romania have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Romania Clean Sheet 68%
San Marino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Romania San Marino
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 2
Draws 6 3
Losses 9 25
Goals Scored 1.63 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 4.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 4.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 World Championship
Romania vs San Marino
7:1
Mar 24, 2025 World Championship
San Marino vs Romania
1:5
Aug 10, 2011 Friendly International
San Marino vs Romania
0:1
Mar 27, 1991 Euro
San Marino vs Romania
1:3
Dec 5, 1990 Euro
Romania vs San Marino
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Romania Compare

Top Goalscorer Baiaram S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Man D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

San Marino Compare

Top Goalscorer Giacopetti N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Romania 95 / 100
San Marino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Romania San Marino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marino let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Romania scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Romania went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Romania VS San Marino
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 4.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Romania

(Home)
06 Jun
Romania
2 : 1
Wales
02 Jun
Georgia
1 : 1
Romania
31 Mar
Slovakia
2 : 0
Romania
26 Mar
Turkey
1 : 0
Romania
18 Nov
Romania
7 : 1
San Marino
Page 1 of 6

San Marino

(Away)
09 Jun
Azerbaijan
2 : 1
San Marino
05 Jun
San Marino
1 : 2
Bangladesh
31 Mar
San Marino
0 : 0
Andorra
28 Mar
San Marino
1 : 2
Faroe Islands
18 Nov
Romania
7 : 1
San Marino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany650116:315
2Slovakia64026:812
3Northern Ireland63037:69
4Luxembourg60061:130
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League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Switzerland642014:214
2Kosovo63216:511
3Slovenia60423:84
4Sweden60244:122
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League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Scotland641113:713
2Denmark632116:711
3Greece621310:127
4Belarus60244:172
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League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1France651016:416
2Ukraine631210:1110
3Iceland621313:117
4Azerbaijan60153:161
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League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain651021:216
2Turkey641117:1213
3Georgia61057:153
4Bulgaria61053:193
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League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal641120:713
2Ireland63129:710
3Hungary622211:108
4Armenia61053:193
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League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Netherlands862027:420
2Poland852114:717
3Finland83148:1410
4Malta81254:195
5Lithuania80356:153
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League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austria861122:419
2Bosnia & Herzegovina852117:717
3Romania841319:1013
4Cyprus822411:118
5San Marino80082:390
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League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norway880037:524
2Italy860221:1218
3Israel840419:2012
4Estonia81168:214
5Moldova80175:321
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League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belgium853029:718
2Wales851221:1116
3North Macedonia834113:1013
4Kazakhstan82249:138
5Liechtenstein80080:310
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League Standings (Group 11)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England880022:024
2Albania84227:514
3Serbia84139:1013
4Latvia81255:155
5Andorra80173:161
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League Standings (Group 12)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Croatia871026:422
2Czech Republic851218:816
3Faroe Islands840411:912
4Montenegro83058:179
5Gibraltar80083:280
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