Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2016/2017

Romulus

Tue, Oct 11, 2016

1 - 3

06:45 PM

Lincoln Utd.

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Lincoln Utd. advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Romulus

15%

Draws

57%

Lincoln Utd.

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lincoln Utd.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence

Romulus carry the better recent record into this one.
Lincoln Utd. are the model's pick here, at 70%.
Romulus have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Lincoln Utd., who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Romulus Clean Sheet 10%

Lincoln Utd. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Romulus	Lincoln Utd.
Matches Played	31	31
Wins	10	8
Draws	5	7
Losses	16	16
Goals Scored	1.26	1.39
Goals Conceded	1.68	1.84
Expected Goals (xG)	1.60	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2016 FA Trophy

Romulus vs Lincoln Utd.

1:3

Oct 8, 2016 FA Trophy

Lincoln Utd. vs Romulus

2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Romulus 14 / 100

Lincoln Utd. 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Romulus Lincoln Utd.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lincoln Utd. Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lincoln Utd. let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Romulus scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Away concern: Lincoln Utd. has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Romulus VS Lincoln Utd.

0 Goals Scored 1.5

3 Goals Conceded 2

50% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Romulus

(Home)

18 Jul

Boldmere St Michaels

1 : 0

Romulus

03 Sept

Basford Utd.

5 : 0

Romulus

07 Sept

Romulus

0 : 4

Buxton

22 Sept

Neots

4 : 3

Romulus

08 Sept

Romulus

4 : 0

Belper Town

Page 1 of 7

Lincoln Utd.

(Away)

29 Aug

Lincoln Utd.

1 : 2

Nuneaton

10 Jul

Lincoln Utd.

2 : 1

Lincoln City U23

07 Jul

Basford Utd.

4 : 3

Lincoln Utd.

20 Sept

Lincoln Utd.

0 : 2

Malvern Town

06 Sept

Coventry Sphinx

0 : 2

Lincoln Utd.

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

Quarter-finals

Nantwich -

TBD -

Warrington Town -

Skelmersdale -

TBD -

Burscough 1

Kendal 2

Goole 2

Belper Town 1

TBD -

Blyth Spartans -

Rushall -

TBD -

Halesowen -

Buxton -

TBD -

Tadcaster Albion 0

Glossop North End 2

Stourbridge -

TBD -

King’s Lynn -

Marine -

TBD -

Ashton United -

Bedworth United 5

Rugby 3

TBD -

Neots -

Hednesford -

TBD -

Basford Utd. 0

Stamford 1

Corby -

TBD -

Stafford -

St Ives Town -

TBD -

Chasetown 1

Carlton Town 3

Sutton Coldfield Town -

TBD -

Loughborough Dynamo 1

Leek Town 2

Shaw Lane 2

Scarborough Athletic 0

TBD -

Frickley -

Workington -

TBD -

Whitby -

Ramsbottom Utd 3

Sheffield FC 1

Ossett Albion 1

Prescot Cables 2

Cambridge City -

TBD -

Redditch -

Kidsgrove Athletic -

TBD -

Newcastle Town 1

Soham 3

Lancaster 4

Droylsden 2

Clitheroe 0

Stocksbridge 5

Barwell -

TBD -

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) -

Mossley AFC 4

Northwich Victoria 3

Radcliffe 1

Farsley 3

Stratford -

TBD -

Grantham Town -

Spennymoor -

TBD -

Matlock -

Trafford 2

Colne 1

Ossett Town 0

Bamber Bridge 1

Leamington -

TBD -

Mickleover -

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 7

Histon 2

TBD -

Coalville Town -

Gresley 4

Spalding United 1

Romulus 3

Lincoln Utd. 5

Colwyn Bay 1

Hyde 0

Brighouse Town 2

Witton Albion 5

Market Drayton -

TBD -

Kettering -

Kings Langley -

TBD -

Heybridge -

Canvey Island -

TBD -

Enfield Town -

Bishops Cleeve 1

Didcot 0

TBD -

Banbury -

Swindon Supermarine 3

Slimbridge 1

Larkhall 2

Taunton Town 6

Dunstable Town -

TBD -

Norwich Utd 0

Tooting & Mitcham 2

Wantage 3

Kidlington 2

TBD -

Weymouth -

Dorchester -

TBD -

Farnborough 1

Barnstaple Town 5

Staines -

TBD -

Basingstoke -

Merthyr Town -

TBD -

Cinderford Town -

Bognor Regis -

TBD -

Slough Town -

Havant & Waterlooville -

TBD -

Cirencester -

Maldon & Tiptree 3

Great Wakering 1

TBD -

Billericay -

Brightlingsea 2

Dereham 1

TBD -

Metropolitan Police -

Uxbridge 4

AFC Dunstable 0

TBD -

Harlow -

Hanwell Town 4

Bedford 0

Sittingbourne 0

Bury Town 2

Evesham 1

Shortwood 0

TBD -

Frome Town -

Chippenham Town -

TBD -

Hereford 3

Salisbury 4

Hendon -

TBD -

Leiston -

Dulwich Hamlet -

TBD -

Lowestoft -

Leatherhead -

TBD -

Chesham -

Merstham -

TBD -

Waltham Abbey -

Walton Casuals -

TBD -

Haringey Borough 1

Hythe 2

Burgess Hill -

TBD -

Beaconsfield Town -

Corinthian-Casuals 2

Thamesmead 1

Arlesey 2

Chalfont St Peter 8

Biggleswade Town -

TBD -

Aveley 1

FC Witham Town 2

Hayes & Yeading -

TBD -

Hitchin -

Folkestone -

TBD -

Whyteleafe 1

Cheshunt 3

Yate 2

Mangotsfield 0

Bridgwater United 3

North Leigh 6

Royston Town 3

Egham Town 0

Dorking Wanderers 3

Northwood 6

Tiverton 6

Paulton Rovers 1

AFC Totton 3

Wimborne 4

Needham Market -

TBD -

Godalming Town 0

Wroxham 3

Herne Bay 1

Barton 0

TBD -

Harrow Borough -

Cray Wanderers 6

Carshalton 3

Brentwood 1

Marlow 2

Kempston 5

Chipstead 3

TBD -

Worthing FC -

Phoenix Sports -

TBD -

Three Bridges 0

East Grinstead Town 4

Fleet Town 2

Bideford 1

Petersfield 2

Winchester City 4

Hastings 3

Ramsgate 0

Chatham 1

Aylesbury United 4

Faversham -

TBD -

Guernsey FC 0

South Park 2

Sudbury -

TBD -

Thurrock 1

Bowers & Pitsea 2

Horsham FC 2

Potters 0

Molesey 1

Romford 3

Kingstonian -

TBD -

Tilbury 1

Lewes 4

Tonbridge -

TBD -

Hornchurch 2

Ashford Town 3

Ware 3

Aylesbury Vale 1

Greenwich Borough 2

VCD Athletic 3

Grays -

TBD -

Wingate & Finchley -

TBD -

Semi-finals

Nantwich 2

Warrington Town 0

Skelmersdale 1

Kendal 3

Goole 2

Blyth Spartans 8

Rushall 1

Halesowen 2

Buxton 2

Glossop North End 0

Stourbridge 1

King’s Lynn 2

Marine 4

Ashton United 0

Bedworth United 2

Neots 3

Hednesford 4

Stamford 1

Corby 0

Stafford 2

St Ives Town 4

Carlton Town 1

Sutton Coldfield Town 1

Leek Town 2

Shaw Lane 6

Frickley 2

Workington 3

Whitby 4

Ramsbottom Utd 2

Prescot Cables 1

Cambridge City 1

Redditch 3

Kidsgrove Athletic 5

Soham 3

Lancaster 1

Stocksbridge 2

Barwell 2

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 0

Mossley AFC 1

Farsley 3

Stratford 2

Grantham Town 6

Spennymoor 1

Matlock 2

Trafford 2

Bamber Bridge 0

Leamington 0

Mickleover 1

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1

Coalville Town 0

Gresley 2

Lincoln Utd. 4

Colwyn Bay 2

Witton Albion 4

Market Drayton 1

Kettering 5

Kings Langley 1

Heybridge 0

Canvey Island 2

Enfield Town 3

Bishops Cleeve 1

Banbury 0

Swindon Supermarine 0

Taunton Town 5

Dunstable Town 4

Tooting & Mitcham 2

Wantage 0

Weymouth 4

Dorchester 3

Barnstaple Town 1

Staines 1

Basingstoke 4

Merthyr Town 6

Cinderford Town 1

Bognor Regis 1

Slough Town 4

Havant & Waterlooville 2

Cirencester 1

Maldon & Tiptree 0

Billericay 2

Brightlingsea 6

Metropolitan Police 2

Uxbridge 0

Harlow 1

Hanwell Town 2

Bury Town 1

Evesham 1

Frome Town 2

Chippenham Town 3

Salisbury 2

Hendon 0

Leiston 5

Dulwich Hamlet 2

Lowestoft 1

Leatherhead 2

Chesham 3

Merstham 5

Waltham Abbey 0

Walton Casuals 2

Hythe 3

Burgess Hill 5

Beaconsfield Town 1

Corinthian-Casuals 2

Chalfont St Peter 3

Biggleswade Town 1

FC Witham Town 0

Hayes & Yeading 0

Hitchin 1

Folkestone 3

Cheshunt 1

Yate 1

North Leigh 6

Royston Town 6

Northwood 3

Tiverton 0

Wimborne 1

Needham Market 2

Wroxham 0

Herne Bay 2

Harrow Borough 5

Cray Wanderers 4

Marlow 0

Kempston 1

Worthing FC 3

Phoenix Sports 3

East Grinstead Town 2

Fleet Town 1

Winchester City 2

Hastings 4

Aylesbury United 0

Faversham 3

South Park 4

Sudbury 4

Bowers & Pitsea 0

Horsham FC 1

Romford 3

Kingstonian 2

Lewes 1

Tonbridge 7

Ashford Town 4

Ware 3

VCD Athletic 1

Grays 1

Wingate & Finchley 3

TBD -

Stage 6

TBD -

Stage 5

TBD -

Stage 4

TBD -

Stage 3

TBD -

Stage 2

TBD -

Stage 1

TBD -

Final

Nantwich 2

Kendal 0

Blyth Spartans 4

Halesowen 3

Buxton 1

King’s Lynn 3

Marine 5

Neots 3

Hednesford 2

Stafford 3

St Ives Town 2

Leek Town 1

Shaw Lane 3

Whitby 0

Ramsbottom Utd 4

Redditch 1

Kidsgrove Athletic 3

Stocksbridge 5

Barwell 2

Farsley 3

Grantham Town 0

Matlock 2

Trafford 0

Mickleover 1

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3

Lincoln Utd. 5

Witton Albion 2

Kettering 1

Kings Langley 1

Enfield Town 0

Bishops Cleeve 0

Taunton Town 1

Dunstable Town 1

Weymouth 4

Dorchester 0

Basingstoke 3

Merthyr Town 2

Slough Town 4

Havant & Waterlooville 5

Billericay 0

Brightlingsea 2

Harlow 3

Hanwell Town 0

Frome Town 1

Chippenham Town 0

Leiston 1

Dulwich Hamlet 4

Chesham 0

Merstham 0

Hythe 3

Burgess Hill 4

Chalfont St Peter 3

Biggleswade Town 3

Hitchin 4

Folkestone 2

North Leigh 3

Royston Town 4

Wimborne 0

Needham Market 1

Harrow Borough 2

Cray Wanderers 1

Worthing FC 2

Phoenix Sports 1

Winchester City 3

Hastings 3

South Park 4

Sudbury 4

Romford 0

Kingstonian 3

Tonbridge 2

Ware 0

Wingate & Finchley 2

TBD -

Romulus vs Lincoln Utd.

England

Romulus

Lincoln Utd.

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Romulus

Lincoln Utd.

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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