Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rondinella vs Prato

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Verde F.
42' Event
Verde F.
51' Event
Cellai B.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E game between Rondinella and Prato finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Prato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Rondinella
25%
Draws
64%
Prato
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Prato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Prato carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Prato's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Rondinella Clean Sheet 14%
Prato Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rondinella Prato
Matches Played 3 29
Wins 0 17
Draws 1 6
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 0.33 1.41
Goals Conceded 2 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.32 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Rondinella vs Prato
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rondinella Compare

Top Goalscorer Cellai B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.25
Avg xA / game 0.16

Prato Compare

Top Goalscorer Verde F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Spinozzi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rondinella 19 / 100
Prato 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rondinella Prato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Prato Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Rondinella found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (3 games).

Prato's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Rondinella remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rondinella VS Prato
0.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rondinella

(Home)
16 Sept
Scandicci
3 : 0
Rondinella
13 Sept
Rondinella
1 : 3
Prato
06 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0
Rondinella

Prato

(Away)
16 Sept
Prato
1 : 1
Grassina
13 Sept
Rondinella
1 : 3
Prato
06 Sept
Prato
1 : 0
Ternana
17 May
Prato
1 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
10 May
Prato
3 : 1
Siena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Donato Tavarnelle 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Prato 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
3 Flaminia 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
4 Follonica Gavorrano 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
5 Lucchese 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
6 Tau 3 2 0 1 6:7 6
7 Seravezza Pozzi 3 1 1 1 7:3 4
8 Siena 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
9 Montevarchi 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
10 Scandicci 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
11 Terranuova Traiana 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
12 Sasso Marconi 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
13 Mezzolara 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
14 SCD Progresso 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
15 Ternana 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
16 Grassina 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
17 Rondinella 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
18 Ghiviborgo 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)