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Rondonopolis EC vs Atletico MT

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Matogrossense 2 2024
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AI Match Summary

The Matogrossense 2 2024 game between Rondonopolis EC and Atletico MT finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rondonopolis EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Rondonopolis EC
35%
Draws
16%
Atletico MT
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rondonopolis EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico MT haven't matched Rondonopolis EC's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Rondonopolis EC taking it.
  • Regular Matogrossense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Rondonopolis EC Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico MT Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rondonopolis EC Atletico MT
Matches Played 20 12
Wins 7 0
Draws 6 2
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.6 0.58
Goals Conceded 1.05 3.08
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 0.62
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Rondonopolis EC vs Atletico MT
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rondonopolis EC 85 / 100
Atletico MT 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rondonopolis EC Atletico MT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rondonopolis EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico MT's defensive record shows goals conceded in 92% of 12 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Rondonopolis EC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Atletico MT's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Rondonopolis EC VS Atletico MT
2.71 Goals Scored 0.38
0.86 Goals Conceded 2.13
71% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rondonopolis EC

(Home)
08 Jun
Rondonopolis EC
0 : 1
Caceres
02 Jun
Caceres
0 : 0
Rondonopolis EC
26 May
Pocone
1 : 1
Rondonopolis EC
19 May
Rondonopolis EC
3 : 3
Várzea Grande EC
11 May
Rondonopolis EC
2 : 0
Atletico MT
Page 1 of 4

Atletico MT

(Away)
17 May
Atletico MT
1 : 7
Uirapuru
09 May
Cacerense
3 : 0
Atletico MT
27 Apr
Atletico MT
0 : 0
Paulistano FC
20 Apr
Acao
2 : 2
Atletico MT
06 Jul
Santa Cruz MT
3 : 0
Atletico MT
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rondonopolis EC 5 3 2 0 19:5 11
2 Acao 4 3 0 1 9:6 9
3 Pocone 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
4 Várzea Grande EC 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
5 Atletico MT 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
6 Paulistano FC 1 0 0 1 0:9 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sinop FC 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Gremio Sorriso 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
3 Caceres 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
4 Sport Sinop 5 2 0 3 6:6 6
5 Campo Novo 5 1 0 4 6:10 3
6 Santa Cruz MT 5 1 0 4 3:9 3
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2024 (Play Offs)