Sport Picks

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Rondonopolis EC vs Cuiaba

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Matogrossense 2016
Sat, Feb 20, 2016
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rondonopolis EC host Cuiaba in the Campeonato Matogrossense 2016. Little to choose between these two on current form. Cuiaba have shipped 0.62 goals a game lately, while Rondonopolis EC have conceded 1.05 and scored 1.6. Head-to-head, Rondonopolis EC have won 0 to Cuiaba's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 24, 2016, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.17 - 1.05) back Cuiaba to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Rondonopolis EC
35%
Draws
41%
Cuiaba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cuiaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Rondonopolis EC haven't matched Cuiaba's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Rondonopolis EC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Rondonopolis EC Clean Sheet 20%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rondonopolis EC Cuiaba
Matches Played 20 53
Wins 7 27
Draws 6 18
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.6 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.05 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2016 Matogrossense
Cuiaba vs Rondonopolis EC
0:0
Feb 20, 2016 Matogrossense
Rondonopolis EC vs Cuiaba
0:0
Apr 26, 2015 Matogrossense
Cuiaba vs Rondonopolis EC
3:0
Apr 23, 2015 Matogrossense
Rondonopolis EC vs Cuiaba
0:2
Feb 27, 2015 Matogrossense
Rondonopolis EC vs Cuiaba
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rondonopolis EC 85 / 100
Cuiaba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rondonopolis EC Cuiaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rondonopolis EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rondonopolis EC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Rondonopolis EC found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (20 games).

Cuiaba has conceded goals in 45% of their last 53 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cuiaba
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rondonopolis EC

(Home)
08 Jun
Rondonopolis EC
0 : 1
Caceres
02 Jun
Caceres
0 : 0
Rondonopolis EC
26 May
Pocone
1 : 1
Rondonopolis EC
19 May
Rondonopolis EC
3 : 3
Várzea Grande EC
11 May
Rondonopolis EC
2 : 0
Atletico MT
Page 1 of 4

Cuiaba

(Away)
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1
Cuiaba
13 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 2
Cuiaba
08 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Athletic Club
04 Sept
Criciuma
2 : 0
Cuiaba
29 Aug
Botafogo SP
1 : 2
Cuiaba
Page 1 of 11

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luverdense 10 5 3 2 20:9 18
2 Sinop FC 10 5 3 2 13:4 18
3 Várzea Grande EC 10 4 3 3 13:17 15
4 Cacerense 10 3 4 3 15:17 13
5 Mixto 10 2 4 4 16:21 10
6 Pocone 10 2 1 7 12:21 7
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 8 5 2 1 19:1 17
2 Dom Bosco 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
3 Araguaia 8 4 2 2 9:8 14
4 Uniao EC 8 2 3 3 8:9 9
5 Operario VG 8 0 1 7 3:25 1
6 Rondonopolis EC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)