Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rondonopolis EC vs Dom Bosco

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Matogrossense 2016
Sat, Mar 5, 2016
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rondonopolis EC host Dom Bosco in the Campeonato Matogrossense 2016. This one's hard to separate. Dom Bosco have shipped 1.42 goals a game lately, while Rondonopolis EC have conceded 1.05 and scored 1.6. Past meetings favor Rondonopolis EC slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 5, 2016, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.23 vs 0.74, favoring Rondonopolis EC. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Rondonopolis EC
30%
Draws
35%
Dom Bosco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Dom Bosco have won more games recently than Rondonopolis EC.
  • Win probability leans Rondonopolis EC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Rondonopolis EC Clean Sheet 20%
Dom Bosco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rondonopolis EC Dom Bosco
Matches Played 20 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.6 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.05 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2016 Matogrossense
Rondonopolis EC vs Dom Bosco
0:0
Feb 10, 2016 Matogrossense
Dom Bosco vs Rondonopolis EC
0:0
Mar 8, 2015 Matogrossense
Dom Bosco vs Rondonopolis EC
2:0
Feb 8, 2015 Matogrossense
Rondonopolis EC vs Dom Bosco
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rondonopolis EC 85 / 100
Dom Bosco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rondonopolis EC Dom Bosco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rondonopolis EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dom Bosco let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Rondonopolis EC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Dom Bosco registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Rondonopolis EC scored in 55% of their last 20 games.

Scoring Trends

Rondonopolis EC VS Dom Bosco
2.71 Goals Scored 0.63
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.75
71% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 25%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rondonopolis EC

(Home)
08 Jun
Rondonopolis EC
0 : 1
Caceres
02 Jun
Caceres
0 : 0
Rondonopolis EC
26 May
Pocone
1 : 1
Rondonopolis EC
19 May
Rondonopolis EC
3 : 3
Várzea Grande EC
11 May
Rondonopolis EC
2 : 0
Atletico MT
Page 1 of 4

Dom Bosco

(Away)
05 Jul
Dom Bosco
3 : 0
Uirapuru
28 Jun
Acao
1 : 2
Dom Bosco
19 Jun
Dom Bosco
1 : 2
Cacerense
16 Jun
Várzea Grande EC
2 : 1
Dom Bosco
24 Feb
Luverdense
4 : 1
Dom Bosco
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luverdense 10 5 3 2 20:9 18
2 Sinop FC 10 5 3 2 13:4 18
3 Várzea Grande EC 10 4 3 3 13:17 15
4 Cacerense 10 3 4 3 15:17 13
5 Mixto 10 2 4 4 16:21 10
6 Pocone 10 2 1 7 12:21 7
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 8 5 2 1 19:1 17
2 Dom Bosco 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
3 Araguaia 8 4 2 2 9:8 14
4 Uniao EC 8 2 3 3 8:9 9
5 Operario VG 8 0 1 7 3:25 1
6 Rondonopolis EC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)