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Rondonopolis EC vs Uniao EC Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Matogrossense 2016
Sun, Jan 31, 2016
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rondonopolis EC host Uniao EC in the Campeonato Matogrossense 2016. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Rondonopolis EC at 1.6 goals for, 1.05 against; Uniao EC at 1.23 for, 1.12 against. Past meetings favor Uniao EC slightly — 0-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 19, 2016, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.73 xG vs 1.37) point toward Uniao EC. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Rondonopolis EC
35%
Draws
37%
Uniao EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Uniao EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uniao EC lately — more wins on the board than Rondonopolis EC.
  • 28% — that's where the model lands on Rondonopolis EC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Rondonopolis EC Clean Sheet 17%
Uniao EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rondonopolis EC Uniao EC
Matches Played 20 26
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.6 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.05 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.37
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2016 Matogrossense
Uniao EC vs Rondonopolis EC
0:0
Jan 31, 2016 Matogrossense
Rondonopolis EC vs Uniao EC
0:0
Mar 15, 2015 Matogrossense
Uniao EC vs Rondonopolis EC
1:0
Feb 1, 2015 Matogrossense
Rondonopolis EC vs Uniao EC
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rondonopolis EC 84 / 100
Uniao EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rondonopolis EC Uniao EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rondonopolis EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao EC has conceded goals in 62% of their last 26 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Rondonopolis EC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Rondonopolis EC's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Rondonopolis EC VS Uniao EC
2.71 Goals Scored 1.88
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.75
71% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rondonopolis EC

(Home)
08 Jun
Rondonopolis EC
0 : 1
Caceres
02 Jun
Caceres
0 : 0
Rondonopolis EC
26 May
Pocone
1 : 1
Rondonopolis EC
19 May
Rondonopolis EC
3 : 3
Várzea Grande EC
11 May
Rondonopolis EC
2 : 0
Atletico MT
Page 1 of 4

Uniao EC

(Away)
30 Mar
Cuiaba
1 : 1
Uniao EC
23 Mar
Uniao EC
0 : 3
Cuiaba
12 Mar
Uniao EC
2 : 1
Araguaia
23 Feb
Dom Bosco
0 : 0
Uniao EC
19 Feb
Uniao EC
3 : 0
Várzea Grande EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luverdense 10 5 3 2 20:9 18
2 Sinop FC 10 5 3 2 13:4 18
3 Várzea Grande EC 10 4 3 3 13:17 15
4 Cacerense 10 3 4 3 15:17 13
5 Mixto 10 2 4 4 16:21 10
6 Pocone 10 2 1 7 12:21 7
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 8 5 2 1 19:1 17
2 Dom Bosco 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
3 Araguaia 8 4 2 2 9:8 14
4 Uniao EC 8 2 3 3 8:9 9
5 Operario VG 8 0 1 7 3:25 1
6 Rondonopolis EC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)