Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Roosendaal vs Gemert

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026 RBC Stadion, Roosendaal
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Roosendaal
30%
Draws
28%
Gemert
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Roosendaal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Gemert have won more games recently than Roosendaal.
  • 28% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Roosendaal Clean Sheet 10%
Gemert Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roosendaal Gemert
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 16
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 2.1 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Derde Divisie
Roosendaal vs Gemert
3:3
Sep 20, 2025 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs Roosendaal
2:2
Aug 9, 2005 KNVB Beker
Gemert vs Roosendaal
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roosendaal 34 / 100
Gemert 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roosendaal Gemert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gemert Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roosendaal scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Defensive concern: Gemert conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Roosendaal went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Roosendaal VS Gemert
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Roosendaal

(Home)
22 Aug
Roosendaal
0 : 1
Lisse
16 Aug
Groene Ster
1 : 3
Roosendaal
23 May
Roosendaal
4 : 3
RKSV UDI 19
16 May
Lisse
3 : 2
Roosendaal
10 May
Roosendaal
2 : 1
Blauw Geel
Page 1 of 6

Gemert

(Away)
15 Aug
Rijnvogels
2 : 2
Gemert
07 Jul
Gemert
1 : 1
Helmond Sport
23 May
GOES
3 : 3
Gemert
16 May
Gemert
6 : 1
SteDoCo
10 May
Gemert
0 : 1
VVSB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)