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RoPS Rovaniemi vs SalPa

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Keskuskentta, Rovaniemi
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Yao K.
22' Event
Varhi T.
24'
Heiserholt F.

AI Match Summary

The Ykkonen game between RoPS Rovaniemi and SalPa finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RoPS Rovaniemi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
RoPS Rovaniemi
15%
Draws
54%
SalPa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SalPa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • RoPS Rovaniemi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on SalPa taking it.
  • Regular Ykkonen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
RoPS Rovaniemi Clean Sheet 10%
SalPa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RoPS Rovaniemi SalPa
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 15
Draws 9 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.06 2
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Ykkonen
RoPS Rovaniemi vs SalPa
3:1
Jun 27, 2026 Ykkonen
RoPS Rovaniemi vs SalPa
2:2
Apr 4, 2026 Ykkonen
SalPa vs RoPS Rovaniemi
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RoPS Rovaniemi Compare

Top Goalscorer Varhi T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Heiserholt F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

SalPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakonen O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RoPS Rovaniemi 22 / 100
SalPa 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RoPS Rovaniemi SalPa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SalPa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RoPS Rovaniemi found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

SalPa let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

RoPS Rovaniemi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RoPS Rovaniemi VS SalPa
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

RoPS Rovaniemi

(Home)
26 Sept
RoPS Rovaniemi
3 : 1
SalPa
19 Sept
Keski-Uusimaa
3 : 1
RoPS Rovaniemi
12 Sept
RoPS Rovaniemi
1 : 1
OLS Oulu
29 Aug
RoPS Rovaniemi
2 : 0
VJS
22 Aug
Tampere Utd
4 : 0
RoPS Rovaniemi
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SalPa

(Away)
26 Sept
RoPS Rovaniemi
3 : 1
SalPa
19 Sept
SalPa
6 : 4
Tampere Utd
12 Sept
SalPa
4 : 3
JJK Jyvaskyla
29 Aug
KuPS Akatemia
1 : 3
SalPa
22 Aug
SalPa
4 : 1
OLS Oulu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampere Utd 25 15 5 5 58:26 50
2 RoPS Rovaniemi 25 12 8 5 52:37 44
3 SalPa 25 12 6 7 52:45 42
4 OLS Oulu 25 11 8 6 50:37 41
5 Keski-Uusimaa 25 10 8 7 45:37 38
6 JJK Jyvaskyla 25 8 7 10 55:53 31
Promotion - Ykkosliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Ykkosliiga (Relegation)