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RoPS Rovaniemi vs SalPa

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Keskuskentta
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Rrustemi E.
12' Event
Leppanen A.
17'
Poysa S.

AI Match Summary

RoPS Rovaniemi host SalPa in the Ykkonen. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: RoPS Rovaniemi at 1.13 goals for, 1.38 against; SalPa at 2.75 for, 2.13 against. Head-to-head, RoPS Rovaniemi have won 0 to SalPa's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 2.06, favoring RoPS Rovaniemi. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
RoPS Rovaniemi
28%
Draws
22%
SalPa
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: RoPS Rovaniemi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • RoPS Rovaniemi has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to SalPa.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for RoPS Rovaniemi.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Ykkonen provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
RoPS Rovaniemi Clean Sheet 10%
SalPa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RoPS Rovaniemi SalPa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.13 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Ykkonen
RoPS Rovaniemi vs SalPa
2:2
Apr 4, 2026 Ykkonen
SalPa vs RoPS Rovaniemi
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RoPS Rovaniemi Compare

Top Goalscorer Leppanen A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suutari O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

SalPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Rrustemi E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RoPS Rovaniemi 47 / 100
SalPa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RoPS Rovaniemi SalPa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RoPS Rovaniemi scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

SalPa let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

RoPS Rovaniemi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

SalPa lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RoPS Rovaniemi VS SalPa
1.13 Goals Scored 2.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampere Utd14101328:931
2RoPS Rovaniemi1484230:1528
3JJK Jyvaskyla1574439:2625
4SalPa1465329:2423
5OLS Oulu1564529:2222
6Keski-Uusimaa1363426:1821
7VJS1355325:1820
8FC Inter Turku 21443725:3915
9Jazz Pori1452715:2214
10TPV1434716:2413
11KuPS Akatemia1423924:349
12KPV Kokkola14221012:478