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RoPS Rovaniemi vs TPV

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Keskuskentta, Rovaniemi
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Mattila J. In: Puustinen V.
Out: Mattila J.
62'
Sub
Oinas A. In: Leppanen A.
Out: Oinas A.
62'
Sub
Roiha S. In: Korhonen M.
Out: Roiha S.

AI Match Summary

RoPS Rovaniemi in this Ykkonen matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored RoPS Rovaniemi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
RoPS Rovaniemi
15%
Draws
39%
TPV
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RoPS Rovaniemi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to RoPS Rovaniemi lately — more wins on the board than TPV.
  • Win probability leans RoPS Rovaniemi's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
RoPS Rovaniemi Clean Sheet 10%
TPV Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RoPS Rovaniemi TPV
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.07 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Ykkonen
TPV vs RoPS Rovaniemi
6:3
May 9, 2026 Ykkonen
RoPS Rovaniemi vs TPV
1:0
Jul 25, 2010 Ykkosliiga
TPV vs RoPS Rovaniemi
0:3
Jun 13, 2010 Ykkosliiga
RoPS Rovaniemi vs TPV
8:0
Sep 16, 2007 Ykkosliiga
RoPS Rovaniemi vs TPV
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RoPS Rovaniemi Compare

Top Goalscorer Korhonen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

TPV Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RoPS Rovaniemi 38 / 100
TPV 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RoPS Rovaniemi TPV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RoPS Rovaniemi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RoPS Rovaniemi scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

TPV's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

RoPS Rovaniemi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

RoPS Rovaniemi VS TPV
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

RoPS Rovaniemi

(Home)
26 Sept
RoPS Rovaniemi
3 : 1
SalPa
19 Sept
Keski-Uusimaa
3 : 1
RoPS Rovaniemi
12 Sept
RoPS Rovaniemi
1 : 1
OLS Oulu
29 Aug
RoPS Rovaniemi
2 : 0
VJS
22 Aug
Tampere Utd
4 : 0
RoPS Rovaniemi
Page 1 of 6

TPV

(Away)
26 Sept
TPV
1 : 3
Jazz Pori
20 Sept
FC Inter Turku 2
3 : 0
TPV
13 Sept
TPV
4 : 2
KuPS Akatemia
29 Aug
TPV
0 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
22 Aug
FC Inter Turku 2
0 : 1
TPV
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampere Utd 22 13 5 4 47:18 44
2 RoPS Rovaniemi 22 11 7 4 47:32 40
3 SalPa 22 10 6 6 41:35 36
4 Keski-Uusimaa 22 9 8 5 40:30 35
5 OLS Oulu 22 9 7 6 43:35 34
6 JJK Jyvaskyla 22 8 7 7 51:42 31
7 VJS 22 7 10 5 38:31 31
8 Jazz Pori 22 9 6 7 32:29 30
9 TPV 22 6 6 10 30:40 24
10 FC Inter Turku 2 22 5 5 12 32:51 20
11 KuPS Akatemia 22 3 6 13 37:51 15
12 KPV Kokkola 22 4 3 15 24:68 15
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ykkonen (Relegation Group)