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Rosariense vs Academico do Sal Prediction & H2H Stats

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Fonseca R.

AI Match Summary

Rosariense in this Campeonato Nacional 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rosariense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Rosariense
30%
Draws
23%
Academico do Sal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rosariense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Academico do Sal have won more games recently than Rosariense.
  • Model gives Rosariense a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Rosariense Clean Sheet 16%
Academico do Sal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosariense Academico do Sal
Matches Played 18 25
Wins 7 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.28 1
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Rosariense vs Academico do Sal
1:0
May 5, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Academico do Sal vs Rosariense
2:0
May 14, 2011 Campeonato Nacional
Rosariense vs Academico do Sal
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rosariense Compare

Top Goalscorer Fonseca R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Academico do Sal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosariense 36 / 100
Academico do Sal 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosariense Academico do Sal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rosariense found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (18 games).

Academico do Sal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 25 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Solid form: Rosariense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rosariense VS Academico do Sal
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rosariense

(Home)
15 Jun
Rosariense
1 : 0
Academico do Sal
09 Jun
Academica do Fogo
3 : 1
Rosariense
26 May
Rosariense
1 : 1
Juventude
18 May
Juventude
1 : 2
Rosariense
12 May
Rosariense
0 : 0
Academica do Fogo
Page 1 of 4

Academico do Sal

(Away)
13 Jun
Cutelinho
1 : 1
Academico do Sal
06 Jun
Academico do Sal
1 : 2
Academica Porto Novo
30 May
Mindelense
3 : 0
Academico do Sal
23 May
Academico do Sal
1 : 0
Scorpion Vermelho
09 May
Boavista da Praia
1 : 0
Academico do Sal
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academico do Sal 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
2 Academica do Fogo 6 2 2 2 11:6 8
3 Rosariense 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
4 Juventude 6 1 3 2 8:12 6
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeira 6 3 3 0 13:5 12
2 Morabeza 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
3 Barreirense 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 GD Varandinha 6 0 2 4 7:15 2
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boavista da Praia 6 5 1 0 12:2 16
2 FC Derby 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
3 Ultramarina 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
4 Sanjoanenses 6 0 2 4 3:8 2
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams