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Rosariense vs GD Varandinha Prediction & H2H Stats

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Campeonato Nacional 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2022 game between Rosariense and GD Varandinha finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Rosariense
30%
Draws
8%
GD Varandinha
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rosariense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rosariense come out ahead of GD Varandinha on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Rosariense's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Rosariense Clean Sheet 17%
GD Varandinha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosariense GD Varandinha
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 5 8
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.28 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2022 Campeonato Nacional
Rosariense vs GD Varandinha
1:1
May 22, 2022 Campeonato Nacional
GD Varandinha vs Rosariense
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosariense 75 / 100
GD Varandinha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosariense GD Varandinha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rosariense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Varandinha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Rosariense scored in 78% of their last 18 games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Rosariense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rosariense VS GD Varandinha
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rosariense

(Home)
15 Jun
Rosariense
1 : 0
Academico do Sal
09 Jun
Academica do Fogo
3 : 1
Rosariense
26 May
Rosariense
1 : 1
Juventude
18 May
Juventude
1 : 2
Rosariense
12 May
Rosariense
0 : 0
Academica do Fogo
Page 1 of 4

GD Varandinha

(Away)
15 Jun
GD Varandinha
1 : 2
Morabeza
09 Jun
Palmeira
4 : 0
GD Varandinha
26 May
GD Varandinha
2 : 3
Barreirense
18 May
Barreirense
3 : 1
GD Varandinha
11 May
GD Varandinha
2 : 2
Palmeira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rosariense 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
2 Sporting Praia 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
3 GD Varandinha 6 2 1 3 4:5 7
4 Ultramarina 6 1 0 5 3:11 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeira 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
2 Academica Boavista 6 2 2 2 2:5 8
3 Morabeza 6 1 3 2 5:4 6
4 Academica Porto Novo 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica do Mindelo 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
2 Botafogo 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
3 Mindelense 6 2 1 3 3:6 7
4 Barreirense 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams