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Rosario Central U20 vs Olimpia Asuncion U20

South America South America

Copa Libertadores U20 2024 Estadio Profesor Alberto Suppici
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rosario Central U20 play Olimpia Asuncion U20 in the Copa Libertadores U20 2024. Rosario Central U20 are favorites here. Recently, Rosario Central U20 averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Olimpia Asuncion U20 averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, Rosario Central U20 won 1, Olimpia Asuncion U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 9, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.51 for Rosario Central U20 and 1.23 for Olimpia Asuncion U20. This points to a Rosario Central U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Rosario Central U20
15%
Draws
25%
Olimpia Asuncion U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rosario Central U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Rosario Central U20 picked up more points recently compared to Olimpia Asuncion U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.51 vs 1.23 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Rosario Central U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Olimpia Asuncion U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosario Central U20 Olimpia Asuncion U20
Matches Played 5 11
Wins 3 3
Draws 0 2
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 1.4 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.20 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Copa Libertadores U20
Rosario Central U20 vs Olimpia Asuncion U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rosario Central U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ponce T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Olimpia Asuncion U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosario Central U20 58 / 100
Olimpia Asuncion U20 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosario Central U20 Olimpia Asuncion U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rosario Central U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Rosario Central U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rosario Central U20 attacking → ← attacking Olimpia Asuncion U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rosario Central U20 scored in 100% of their last 5 games.

Olimpia Asuncion U20 let in goals in 73% of their last 11 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Rosario Central U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Olimpia Asuncion U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 11
1.40 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.20 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Boca Juniors U2032106:07
2Academia Puerto Cabello U2032017:46
3Colo Colo U2031114:24
4Always Ready U2030031:120
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rosario Central U2032014:36
2Olimpia Asuncion U2031112:14
3Montevideo City U2031115:54
4Aguilas Doradas U2031025:73
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Flamengo RJ U2033007:29
2Aucas U2032018:56
3Defensor Sp. U2031024:53
4Sporting Cristal U2030032:90