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Stadium Background

Rosario Central vs Corinthians

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario
Rosario Central Logo

Rosario Central

0 - 0
FT
Corinthians Logo

Corinthians

Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Pizarro V.
44'
Breno Bidon
45'
Copetti E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Rosario Central
30%
Draws
12%
Corinthians
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rosario Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Corinthians haven't matched Rosario Central's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Rosario Central taking it.
  • Rosario Central have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rosario Central, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Rosario Central Clean Sheet 68%
Corinthians Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosario Central Corinthians
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.21 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.93 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Corinthians vs Rosario Central
1:0
Aug 14, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Rosario Central vs Corinthians
0:0
May 9, 2000 Copa Libertadores
Corinthians vs Rosario Central
4:2
May 3, 2000 Copa Libertadores
Rosario Central vs Corinthians
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosario Central 68 / 100
Corinthians 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosario Central Corinthians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rosario Central Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rosario Central's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Corinthians let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Rosario Central stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rosario Central VS Corinthians
1 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rosario Central

(Home)
13 Sept
Tigre
0 : 1
Rosario Central
06 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 1
Newells Old Boys
29 Aug
Rosario Central
1 : 2
Gimnasia L.P.
25 Aug
Talleres Cordoba
2 : 2
Rosario Central
21 Aug
Corinthians
1 : 0
Rosario Central
Page 1 of 6

Corinthians

(Away)
17 Sept
Corinthians
0 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
13 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Corinthians
10 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 1
Corinthians
06 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 2
Chapecoense-SC
30 Aug
Corinthians
0 : 1
Santos
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 4
U. Catolica 1
Rosario Central 0
Corinthians 1
Deportes Tolima 1
Independiente del Valle 4
Cruzeiro 2
Flamengo RJ 3
Mirassol 1
LDU Quito 2
Palmeiras 2
Cerro Porteno 1
Platense 2
Coquimbo 1
Fluminense 2
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Quarter-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 2
Corinthians 1
Independiente del Valle 1
Flamengo RJ 3
LDU Quito 3
Palmeiras 4
Platense 2
Fluminense 3
Semi-finals
Estudiantes L.P. -
Flamengo RJ -
Palmeiras -
Fluminense -
Final
TBD -
TBD -