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Rosario Central vs Corinthians - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Pizarro V.
44'
Breno Bidon
45'
Copetti E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Rosario Central
30%
Draws
19%
Corinthians
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rosario Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Corinthians haven't matched Rosario Central's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Rosario Central taking it.
  • Rosario Central have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rosario Central, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Rosario Central Clean Sheet 68%
Corinthians Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosario Central Corinthians
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.57 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Corinthians vs Rosario Central
1:0
Aug 14, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Rosario Central vs Corinthians
0:0
May 9, 2000 Copa Libertadores
Corinthians vs Rosario Central
4:2
May 3, 2000 Copa Libertadores
Rosario Central vs Corinthians
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosario Central 95 / 100
Corinthians 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosario Central Corinthians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rosario Central Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rosario Central's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Rosario Central went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Corinthians has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Rosario Central VS Corinthians
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rosario Central

(Home)
31 Oct
Sarmiento Junin
1 : 2
Rosario Central
25 Oct
Rosario Central
2 : 0
Huracan
17 Oct
Atl. Tucuman
2 : 3
Rosario Central
11 Oct
Rosario Central
5 : 0
Ind. Rivadavia
06 Oct
Banfield
1 : 1
Rosario Central
Page 1 of 6

Corinthians

(Away)
05 Nov
Sao Paulo
0 : 0
Corinthians
30 Oct
Corinthians
2 : 0
Mirassol
24 Oct
Vasco
3 : 2
Corinthians
19 Oct
Corinthians
1 : 1
Vitoria
11 Oct
Palmeiras
4 : 1
Corinthians
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 4
U. Catolica 1
Rosario Central 0
Corinthians 1
Deportes Tolima 1
Independiente del Valle 4
Cruzeiro 2
Flamengo RJ 3
Mirassol 1
LDU Quito 2
Palmeiras 2
Cerro Porteno 1
Platense 2
Coquimbo 1
Fluminense 2
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Quarter-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 2
Corinthians 1
Independiente del Valle 1
Flamengo RJ 3
LDU Quito 3
Palmeiras 4
Platense 2
Fluminense 3
Semi-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 1
Flamengo RJ 0
Palmeiras 3
Fluminense 2
Final
Estudiantes L.P. -
Palmeiras -