Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Gigante de Arroyito

Match Events

21'

Silva K.

22'

Veliz A.

31'

Bolivar J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rosario Central play Universidad Central in the Copa Libertadores. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rosario Central averaged 1.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Universidad Central averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Rosario Central won 2, Universidad Central won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 19, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Rosario Central and 0.81 for Universidad Central. This points to a Rosario Central double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Rosario Central

Draws

Universidad Central

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rosario Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Rosario Central has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Universidad Central.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Rosario Central.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Copa Libertadores provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Rosario Central Clean Sheet 68%

Universidad Central Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rosario Central	Universidad Central
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	13
Draws	6	7
Losses	9	10
Goals Scored	1.75	0.88
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Rosario Central vs Universidad Central

Possession: 48% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

4:0

Apr 29, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Universidad Central vs Rosario Central

Possession: 43% - 51% Cards: 1 - 2

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rosario Central Compare

Top Goalscorer Veliz A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Pizarro V.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Universidad Central Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosario Central 95 / 100

Universidad Central 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rosario Central Universidad Central

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rosario Central scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Universidad Central let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Rosario Central went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Universidad Central lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rosario Central VS Universidad Central

1.75 Goals Scored 0.88

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63

75% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	6	5	1	0	14:2	16
2	Estudiantes L.P.	6	2	3	1	6:5	9
3	Ind. Medellin	6	2	1	3	6:11	7
4	Cusco	6	0	1	5	4:12	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Coquimbo	6	3	1	2	8:6	10
2	Deportes Tolima	6	2	2	2	7:6	8
3	Club Nacional	6	2	2	2	7:9	8
4	Universitario de Deportes	6	1	3	2	5:6	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ind. Rivadavia	6	5	1	0	15:6	16
2	Fluminense	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
3	Bolivar	6	1	2	3	6:8	5
4	Deportivo La Guaira	6	0	3	3	6:13	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	U. Catolica	6	4	1	1	8:4	13
2	Cruzeiro	6	3	2	1	8:3	11
3	Boca Juniors	6	2	1	3	6:5	7
4	Barcelona SC	6	1	0	5	2:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Corinthians	6	3	2	1	8:4	11
2	Platense	6	3	1	2	8:7	10
3	Santa Fe	6	2	2	2	6:7	8
4	Penarol	6	0	3	3	4:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cerro Porteno	6	4	1	1	6:2	13
2	Palmeiras	6	3	2	1	10:5	11
3	Sporting Cristal	6	2	0	4	6:9	6
4	Junior	6	1	1	4	5:11	4

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	LDU Quito	6	4	2	8:5	12
2	Mirassol	6	4	2	7:4	12
3	Lanus	6	3	3	3:7	9
4	Always Ready	6	1	5	7:9	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	6	4	1	1	11:6	13
2	Rosario Central	6	4	1	1	9:1	13
3	Universidad Central	6	3	0	3	7:11	9
4	Libertad Asuncion	6	0	0	6	4:13	0