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Rosemount Rec vs Ballymoney

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Rosemount Rec advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Rosemount Rec
15%
Draws
28%
Ballymoney
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rosemount Rec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ballymoney come out ahead of Rosemount Rec on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Rosemount Rec taking it.
  • Ballymoney arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rosemount Rec, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Rosemount Rec Clean Sheet 15%
Ballymoney Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosemount Rec Ballymoney
Matches Played 9 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 0 1
Losses 4 20
Goals Scored 1.67 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.11 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2023 Irish Cup
Rosemount Rec vs Ballymoney
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosemount Rec 84 / 100
Ballymoney 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosemount Rec Ballymoney

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rosemount Rec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ballymoney let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Rosemount Rec's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 9 recent games.

Away concern: Ballymoney has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rosemount Rec VS Ballymoney
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 3.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Rosemount Rec

(Home)
06 Jan
Loughgall
3 : 0
Rosemount Rec
25 Nov
Rosemount Rec
3 : 1
Ballymoney
17 Aug
Rosemount Rec
2 : 3
Dunmurry Rec
05 Jan
Glenavon
5 : 0
Rosemount Rec
01 Dec
Rosemount Rec
3 : 1
Islandmagee
Page 1 of 2

Ballymoney

(Away)
25 Nov
Rosemount Rec
3 : 1
Ballymoney
07 Jan
Newington FC
2 : 1
Ballymoney
28 Sept
Ballymoney
2 : 3
East Belfast
29 Sept
Ballymoney
1 : 5
Strabane Athletic
18 Aug
Rosario Youth
1 : 2
Ballymoney
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Valley Rangers 0
Oxford Sunnyside 3
Ballymacash 3
Drumaness 1
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
Fivemiletown 0
Strabane Athletic 5
Dungannon -
TBD -
Willowbank 3
Tobermore 2
Crumlin Star 2
Limavady 0
TBD -
Institute -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Linfield -
TBD -
Warrenpoint 6
Lisburn Rangers 1
Queens University 3
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
Ballymena -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Loughgall -
TBD -
Rosemount Rec 3
Ballymoney 1
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
1/16-finals
Oxford Sunnyside 2
Ballymacash 3
Glentoran 1
Annagh 0
Ballyclare 5
Strabane Athletic 2
Dungannon 5
Willowbank 0
Crumlin Star 0
Institute 2
Crusaders 1
Ards 2
Linfield 4
Warrenpoint 2
Queens University 0
Ballymena 4
Carrick Rangers 1
Portadown 2
Bangor FC 3
Dergview 1
Coleraine 0
Cliftonville 3
Loughgall 3
Rosemount Rec 0
Harland & Wolff 1
Larne 4
Knockbreda 0
Glenavon 4
Newington FC 2
Dundela 1
Newry City 3
Ballinamallard 2
1/8-finals
Ballymacash 1
Glentoran 6
Ballyclare 3
Dungannon 2
Institute 1
Ards 0
Linfield 2
Ballymena 0
Portadown 2
Bangor FC 1
Cliftonville 4
Loughgall 0
Larne 5
Glenavon 0
Newington FC 2
Newry City 1
Quarter-finals
Glentoran 2
Ballyclare 0
Institute 1
Linfield 3
Portadown 0
Cliftonville 2
Larne 4
Newington FC 1
Semi-finals
Glentoran 1
Linfield 3
Cliftonville 2
Larne 0
Final
Linfield 1
Cliftonville 3