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Rosenborg 2 vs Aalesund 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Hedman B.
56' Event
Soboczynski M.
62' Event
Qvigstad M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 2025 game between Rosenborg 2 and Aalesund 2 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rosenborg 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Rosenborg 2
33%
Draws
27%
Aalesund 2
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Rosenborg 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Rosenborg 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Rosenborg 2 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Rosenborg 2 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Rosenborg 2 Clean Sheet 13%
Aalesund 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosenborg 2 Aalesund 2
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Rosenborg 2 vs Aalesund 2
5:0
Oct 15, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Rosenborg 2 vs Aalesund 2
3:1
May 25, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Aalesund 2 vs Rosenborg 2
2:5
Oct 8, 2012 Division 2 - Group 2
Rosenborg 2 vs Aalesund 2
5:0
Jun 23, 2012 Division 2 - Group 2
Aalesund 2 vs Rosenborg 2
1:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rosenborg 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hedman B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soboczynski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Aalesund 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Leikanger T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosenborg 2 39 / 100
Aalesund 2 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosenborg 2 Aalesund 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rosenborg 2 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Aalesund 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Rosenborg 2 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rosenborg 2 VS Aalesund 2
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%