Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rosenborg vs Aalesund

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Chiakha A.
Assist: Bomholt M.
5'
Klaesson K.
29' Event
Lonebu K.
Assist: Andresen M.

AI Match Summary

The Eliteserien game between Rosenborg and Aalesund finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aalesund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Rosenborg
6%
Draws
4%
Aalesund
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rosenborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Aalesund's 1.75 goals per match outpaces what Rosenborg have produced (1.38).
  • Win probability leans Rosenborg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Rosenborg Clean Sheet 15%
Aalesund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosenborg Aalesund
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Aalesund
2:3
Feb 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Rosenborg vs Aalesund
2:1
Aug 27, 2023 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Aalesund
4:0
Jul 2, 2023 Eliteserien
Aalesund vs Rosenborg
1:0
Mar 3, 2023 Club Friendly
Rosenborg vs Aalesund
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rosenborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Chiakha A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ceide E. K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Aalesund Compare

Top Goalscorer Lonebu K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Christensen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosenborg 84 / 100
Aalesund 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosenborg Aalesund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalesund has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Rosenborg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Rosenborg found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (27 games).

Scoring Trends

Rosenborg VS Aalesund
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rosenborg

(Home)
18 Jul
Start
0 : 3
Rosenborg
12 Jul
Rosenborg
3 : 0
Kristiansund
05 Jul
Rosenborg
2 : 1
Molde
29 May
Rosenborg
2 : 2
Bodo/Glimt
25 May
KFUM Oslo
2 : 0
Rosenborg
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Aalesund

(Away)
16 Jul
Valerenga
6 : 1
Aalesund
11 Jul
Aalesund
2 : 2
Molde
27 Jun
Kristiansund
0 : 3
Aalesund
29 May
Aalesund
2 : 2
Ham-Kam
25 May
Tromso
1 : 1
Aalesund
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Viking13110233:1333
2Bodo/Glimt14102234:1132
3Tromso1594226:1531
4Lillestrom1481522:1425
5Molde1362521:1720
6Brann1461728:2219
7Sarpsborg 081353514:1618
8Ham-Kam1353520:2518
9Valerenga1352619:2217
10Rosenborg1343615:1815
11Sandefjord1343613:1715
12Fredrikstad1342715:2314
13KFUM Oslo1333713:2112
14Aalesund1326518:2812
15Kristiansund1333711:2112
16Start1414914:337
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)