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Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08

World World

Club Friendly
Sun, Jun 28, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rosenborg host Sarpsborg 08 in the Club Friendly. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Rosenborg at 2.14 goals for, 1.52 against; Sarpsborg 08 at 1.21 for, 1.36 against. Head-to-head, Rosenborg have won 1 to Sarpsborg 08's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.50 vs 1.38, favoring Rosenborg. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Rosenborg
30%
Draws
23%
Sarpsborg 08
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rosenborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Rosenborg have won more games recently than Sarpsborg 08.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Rosenborg taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Rosenborg Clean Sheet 17%
Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosenborg Sarpsborg 08
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.14 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08
0:0
Apr 12, 2026 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08
2:3
Jul 18, 2025 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg
2:2
Jun 25, 2025 NM Cup
Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosenborg 84 / 100
Sarpsborg 08 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosenborg Sarpsborg 08

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rosenborg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Rosenborg scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Sarpsborg 08's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Rosenborg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rosenborg VS Sarpsborg 08
3.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rosenborg

(Home)
19 Sept
Kristiansund
1 : 3
Rosenborg
16 Sept
Floya
1 : 4
Rosenborg
12 Sept
Rosenborg
5 : 3
Tromso
05 Sept
Rosenborg
4 : 0
Ham-Kam
30 Aug
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 2
Rosenborg
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Sarpsborg 08

(Away)
18 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 3
KFUM Oslo
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2
Valerenga
30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0
Sarpsborg 08
22 Aug
Sparta Sarpsborg
0 : 2
Sarpsborg 08
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