Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Lerkendal Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Sher A.
Assist: Utvik B.
22'
Bomholt M.
33' Event
Bomholt M.
Assist: Fossum I.

AI Match Summary

Rosenborg in this Eliteserien matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rosenborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Rosenborg
6%
Draws
4%
Sarpsborg 08
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rosenborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sarpsborg 08 have won more games recently than Rosenborg.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Rosenborg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Rosenborg Clean Sheet 19%
Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosenborg Sarpsborg 08
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08
0:0
Apr 12, 2026 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08
2:3
Jul 18, 2025 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg
2:2
Jun 25, 2025 NM Cup
Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rosenborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Bomholt M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nordli S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sarpsborg 08 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sher A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosenborg 85 / 100
Sarpsborg 08 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosenborg Sarpsborg 08

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Rosenborg's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Sarpsborg 08 has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Rosenborg has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rosenborg VS Sarpsborg 08
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tromso1594226:1531
2Viking12100231:1230
3Bodo/Glimt1392231:1129
4Lillestrom1381421:1225
5Molde1362521:1720
6Brann1461728:2219
7Ham-Kam1253420:2218
8Sarpsborg 081353514:1618
9Valerenga1352619:2217
10Rosenborg1343615:1815
11Sandefjord1343613:1715
12Fredrikstad1342715:2314
13KFUM Oslo1333713:2112
14Aalesund1326518:2812
15Kristiansund1333711:2112
16Start1414914:337