Sport Picks
Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08
Norway
Eliteserien Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim 
Match Events
5'
5'
Sher A.
Assist: Utvik B.
22'
22'
Bomholt M.
33'
33'
Bomholt M.
Assist: Fossum I.
AI Match Summary
Rosenborg in this Eliteserien matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rosenborg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rosenborg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Rosenborg have won more games recently than Sarpsborg 08.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Rosenborg taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Rosenborg Clean Sheet 17%
Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rosenborg | Sarpsborg 08 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08
0:0
Apr 12, 2026 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08
2:3
Jul 18, 2025 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg
2:2
Jun 25, 2025 NM Cup
Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rosenborg Compare
Top Goalscorer Bomholt M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nordli S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
Sarpsborg 08 Compare
Top Goalscorer Sher A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rosenborg 84 / 100
Sarpsborg 08 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rosenborg Sarpsborg 08
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rosenborg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Rosenborg's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Sarpsborg 08 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Rosenborg has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Rosenborg VS Sarpsborg 08
3.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Rosenborg
(Home) 19 Sept
Kristiansund
1 : 3 Rosenborg
16 Sept
Floya
1 : 4 Rosenborg
12 Sept
Rosenborg
5 : 3 Tromso
05 Sept
Rosenborg
4 : 0 Ham-Kam
30 Aug
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 2 Rosenborg
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Rosenborg
5 : 3 Tromso
05 Sept
Rosenborg
4 : 0 Ham-Kam
14 Aug
Rosenborg
2 : 1 Viking
27 Jul
Rosenborg
4 : 0 Fredrikstad
24 Jul
Rosenborg
0 : 5 Manchester United
Page 1 of 4
Sarpsborg 08
(Away) 18 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 3 KFUM Oslo
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1 Sarpsborg 08
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2 Valerenga
30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0 Sarpsborg 08
22 Aug
Sparta Sarpsborg
0 : 2 Sarpsborg 08
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1 Sarpsborg 08
30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0 Sarpsborg 08
22 Aug
Sparta Sarpsborg
0 : 2 Sarpsborg 08
08 Aug
Viking
2 : 1 Sarpsborg 08
02 Aug
Molde
3 : 3 Sarpsborg 08
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 54:20 | 50 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 53:19 | 50 |
| 3 | Tromso | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40:29 | 38 |
| 4 | Molde | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44:32 | 36 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39:30 | 33 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28:29 | 32 |
| 7 | Brann | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 39:32 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24:29 | 25 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25:35 | 25 |
| 11 | Sandefjord | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21:27 | 23 |
| 12 | Valerenga | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34:43 | 23 |
| 13 | Ham-Kam | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 29:44 | 23 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33:46 | 21 |
| 15 | Kristiansund | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21:40 | 19 |
| 16 | Start | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22:44 | 16 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
