Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rosenborg W vs Aalesund W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Toppserien Women Koteng Arena, Trondheim
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Kroken I.
20'
Reeves J.
29' Event
Fuglem O.

AI Match Summary

The Toppserien Women game between Rosenborg W and Aalesund W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Rosenborg W
30%
Draws
39%
Aalesund W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aalesund W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aalesund W come out ahead of Rosenborg W on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Toppserien Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Rosenborg W Clean Sheet 10%
Aalesund W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosenborg W Aalesund W
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 16 22
Draws 6 2
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 2.17 2.74
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Toppserien Women
Rosenborg W vs Aalesund W
1:1
Apr 24, 2026 Toppserien Women
Aalesund W vs Rosenborg W
1:0
Feb 6, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Rosenborg W vs Aalesund W
2:3
Feb 23, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Rosenborg W vs Aalesund W
2:0
Jun 15, 2022 Norway Cup Women
Aalesund W vs Rosenborg W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rosenborg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fuglem O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Aalesund W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sunde K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosenborg W 34 / 100
Aalesund W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosenborg W Aalesund W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalesund W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rosenborg W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Aalesund W conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Rosenborg W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rosenborg W VS Aalesund W
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rosenborg W

(Home)
04 Oct
Valerenga W
1 : 1
Rosenborg W
30 Sept
Rosenborg W
4 : 1
Liberec W
26 Sept
Rosenborg W
1 : 1
Aalesund W
23 Sept
Liberec W
3 : 1
Rosenborg W
17 Sept
Rosenborg W
4 : 2
Stabaek W
Page 1 of 6

Aalesund W

(Away)
04 Oct
Brann W
1 : 2
Aalesund W
26 Sept
Rosenborg W
1 : 1
Aalesund W
20 Sept
Aalesund W
4 : 1
Molde W
11 Sept
Bodo/Glimt W
0 : 2
Aalesund W
06 Sept
Brann W
3 : 1
Aalesund W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brann W 18 15 2 1 54:6 47
2 Aalesund W 18 14 2 2 44:17 44
3 Rosenborg W 18 11 5 2 33:20 38
4 Valerenga W 18 11 2 5 46:25 35
5 Stabaek W 18 8 3 7 36:20 27
6 Lyn W 18 7 5 6 34:26 26
7 Molde W 18 5 3 10 23:36 18
8 Haugesund W 18 5 3 10 25:44 18
9 Honefoss W 18 4 4 10 16:30 16
10 LSK Kvinner W 18 4 3 11 24:35 15
11 Roa W 18 3 5 10 18:37 14
12 Bodo/Glimt W 18 1 3 14 11:68 6
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)
Relegation - Toppserien Women (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 Women 2027 (Main)