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Rosengard vs AFC Malmo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Rosengårds Södra IP, Malmö
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rosengard host AFC Malmo in the Division 1 - Södra. Little to choose between these two on current form. AFC Malmo have shipped 1.66 goals a game lately, while Rosengard have conceded 1.53 and scored 1.53. Head-to-head, Rosengard have won 2 to AFC Malmo's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.75) point toward AFC Malmo. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Rosengard
20%
Draws
65%
AFC Malmo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFC Malmo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Rosengard haven't matched AFC Malmo's recent run of results.
  • AFC Malmo are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Rosengard Clean Sheet 12%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosengard AFC Malmo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.53 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Rosengard
1:1
Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Rosengard vs AFC Malmo
1:4
Oct 18, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Rosengard vs AFC Malmo
1:3
Jun 27, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Rosengard
1:2
Feb 28, 2025 Club Friendly
AFC Malmo vs Rosengard
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosengard 11 / 100
AFC Malmo 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosengard AFC Malmo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Malmo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Rosengard scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

AFC Malmo has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Rosengard remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rosengard VS AFC Malmo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rosengard

(Home)
31 Oct
Skovde
3 : 2
Rosengard
24 Oct
Rosengard
1 : 2
Kristianstad
17 Oct
Tvaaker
1 : 1
Rosengard
10 Oct
Rosengard
1 : 1
Atvidaberg
03 Oct
Angelholm
3 : 0
Rosengard
Page 1 of 6

AFC Malmo

(Away)
01 Nov
AFC Malmo
6 : 3
Trollhattan
24 Oct
AFC Malmo
2 : 3
Angelholm
17 Oct
Jonkoping
2 : 1
AFC Malmo
10 Oct
AFC Malmo
4 : 2
Skovde
02 Oct
Kristianstad
0 : 1
AFC Malmo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 29 20 6 3 66:32 66
2 Hassleholms IF 29 16 5 8 51:33 53
3 Lunds Bois 29 14 8 7 57:37 50
4 AFC Malmo 29 13 8 8 58:45 47
5 Atvidaberg 29 13 8 8 53:43 47
6 Rosengard 29 10 10 9 46:44 40
7 Jonkoping 29 11 6 12 35:31 39
8 Trollhattan 29 10 8 11 51:54 38
9 Tvaaker 29 10 8 11 39:43 38
10 Skovde 29 9 11 9 39:47 38
11 Olympic 29 11 4 14 54:57 37
12 Kristianstad 29 10 6 13 37:41 36
13 Eskilsminne 29 9 6 14 45:60 33
14 Laholms 29 9 5 15 40:47 32
15 Angelholm 29 7 9 13 37:50 30
16 Utsikten 29 3 6 20 27:71 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)