Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rosengard vs IFK Malmo

Sweden Sweden

Svenska Cupen 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
El Harrab Y.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Rosengard advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Rosengard
30%
Draws
16%
IFK Malmo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rosengard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Rosengard carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Rosengard taking it.
  • Rosengard have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rosengard, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Rosengard Clean Sheet 68%
IFK Malmo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosengard IFK Malmo
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 17 3
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.97 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Malmo vs Rosengard
1:7
May 30, 2023 Svenska Cupen
Rosengard vs IFK Malmo
1:0
May 27, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Rosengard vs IFK Malmo
5:2
Aug 19, 2020 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Rosengard vs IFK Malmo
0:0
Apr 11, 2020 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
IFK Malmo vs Rosengard
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rosengard Compare

Top Goalscorer El Harrab Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

IFK Malmo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosengard 95 / 100
IFK Malmo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosengard IFK Malmo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rosengard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: IFK Malmo conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Rosengard scored in 79% of their last 34 outings.

Rosengard went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rosengard VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rosengard

(Home)
26 Sept
Rosengard
2 : 1
Hassleholms IF
20 Sept
Olympic
1 : 1
Rosengard
17 Sept
Rosengard
3 : 4
Trelleborg
11 Sept
Lunds Bois
2 : 0
Rosengard
04 Sept
Rosengard
4 : 2
Laholms
Page 1 of 7

IFK Malmo

(Away)
31 Jan
Olympic
0 : 0
IFK Malmo
22 Oct
IFK Malmo
2 : 3
Nosaby IF
15 Oct
Osterlen FF
3 : 2
IFK Malmo
07 Oct
IFK Berga
1 : 1
IFK Malmo
30 Sept
IFK Malmo
1 : 7
Rosengard
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Tyreso 2
IFK Uppsala 1
TBD -
Orebro -
Gute 1
IFK Stocksund 3
TBD -
Sundsvall -
Ska IK Bygdegard 0
Osteraker IFK 4
TBD -
Sirius -
Hudiksvall 7
Gottne IF 0
TBD -
Hammarby -
Hogsaters 0
Karlstad 3
TBD -
Ostersund -
Roslagsbro 2
FC Jarfalla 1
TBD -
Brommapojkarna -
Korsnas 0
Sandviken 6
TBD -
Djurgarden -
Lucksta IF 5
IFK Ostersund 3
TBD -
Norrkoping -
Karlbergs 1
FC Stockholm Internazionale 2
TBD -
Brage -
Katrineholms SK FK 2
Haninge 1
TBD -
Degerfors -
Huddinge 1
Dalkurd 2
TBD -
AIK -
Ragsved 1
IK Franke 2
TBD -
Skovde -
Taby FK 0
Nordic United 3
TBD -
Jonkoping -
IFK Lulea 2
Skelleftea 1
TBD -
AFC Eskilstuna -
Sollentuna 1
Vasalund 0
TBD -
Gefle -
FBK Karlstad 1
Orebro Syrianska 2
TBD -
Vasteras SK -
BK Hollviken 0
Lunds Bois 1
TBD -
Elfsborg -
Torestorp-Alekulla 0
Falkenberg 11
TBD -
Oster -
Jonkopings BK 5
Hemgardarnas BK 1
TBD -
Orgryte -
Trollhattan 4
Ahlafors 3
TBD -
Landskrona -
Rosengard 1
IFK Malmo 0
TBD -
Helsingborg -
IFK Berga 3
Oskarshamn 0
TBD -
Varnamo -
IK Zenith 2
Oddevold 1
TBD -
IFK Goteborg -
Dalstorps 4
Lindome 3
TBD -
Utsikten -
IFK Skovde 2
Husqvarna 4
TBD -
Trelleborg -
Torstorps IF 0
Smedby 3
TBD -
Malmo FF -
Laholms 1
IFK Hassleholm 2
TBD -
Halmstad -
Hassleholms IF 3
Rappe GOIF 2
TBD -
GAIS -
Asarp-Tradet 1
Jonsereds 3
TBD -
Hacken -
IFK Karlshamn 3
Lindsdals 0
TBD -
Varberg -
Simrishamn 0
Olympic 5
TBD -
Mjallby -
Goteborgs FF 0
Tvaaker 2
TBD -
Kalmar -
Final
Tyreso 1
Orebro 2
IFK Stocksund 0
Sundsvall 2
Osteraker IFK 0
Sirius 6
Hudiksvall 0
Hammarby 2
Karlstad 1
Ostersund 2
Roslagsbro 0
Brommapojkarna 5
Sandviken 1
Djurgarden 5
Lucksta IF 0
Norrkoping 6
FC Stockholm Internazionale 0
Brage 1
Katrineholms SK FK 0
Degerfors 3
Dalkurd 0
AIK 3
IK Franke 0
Skovde 5
Nordic United 3
Jonkoping 0
IFK Lulea 2
AFC Eskilstuna 1
Sollentuna 0
Gefle 1
Orebro Syrianska 0
Vasteras SK 3
Lunds Bois 0
Elfsborg 2
Falkenberg 1
Oster 2
Jonkopings BK 0
Orgryte 2
Trollhattan 0
Landskrona 4
Rosengard 0
Helsingborg 3
IFK Berga 1
Varnamo 2
IK Zenith 0
IFK Goteborg 2
Dalstorps 0
Utsikten 2
Husqvarna 0
Trelleborg 2
Smedby 0
Malmo FF 2
IFK Hassleholm 0
Halmstad 4
Hassleholms IF 2
GAIS 3
Jonsereds 1
Hacken 4
IFK Karlshamn 0
Varberg 1
Olympic 0
Mjallby 1
Tvaaker 1
Kalmar 2