Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rosengard vs Trelleborg

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Rosengårds Södra IP, Malmö
Thu, Sep 17, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rosengard host Trelleborg in the Division 1 - Södra. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Rosengard have averaged 1.57 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Trelleborg's 1.73 scored and 1.42 conceded. Head-to-head, Rosengard have won 0 to Trelleborg's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 18, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.56) point toward Trelleborg. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Rosengard
30%
Draws
28%
Trelleborg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rosengard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Trelleborg average 1.73 goals a game right now, well clear of Rosengard's 1.57.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Rosengard taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Rosengard Clean Sheet 15%
Trelleborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosengard Trelleborg
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Trelleborg vs Rosengard
3:2
Aug 18, 2021 Svenska Cupen
Rosengard vs Trelleborg
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosengard 75 / 100
Trelleborg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosengard Trelleborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rosengard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Rosengard remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Rosengard's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Trelleborg conceded in 77% of 26 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Rosengard VS Trelleborg
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rosengard

(Home)
04 Sept
Rosengard
4 : 2
Laholms
29 Aug
Rosengard
3 : 2
Trollhattan
22 Aug
Jonkoping
0 : 0
Rosengard
16 Aug
Rosengard
1 : 1
Utsikten
08 Aug
Eskilsminne
0 : 0
Rosengard
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Trelleborg

(Away)
06 Sept
Skovde
2 : 1
Trelleborg
30 Aug
Trelleborg
2 : 1
Utsikten
22 Aug
Trollhattan
2 : 1
Trelleborg
16 Aug
Trelleborg
1 : 3
Eskilsminne
08 Aug
AFC Malmo
1 : 2
Trelleborg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 20 11 6 3 42:23 39
2 Hassleholms IF 20 12 3 5 40:24 39
3 Atvidaberg 20 10 6 4 42:30 36
4 Lunds Bois 20 9 8 3 42:26 35
5 Rosengard 20 9 7 4 35:26 34
6 Tvaaker 20 9 5 6 28:28 32
7 AFC Malmo 20 8 7 5 39:31 31
8 Jonkoping 20 7 5 8 25:20 26
9 Olympic 20 8 2 10 36:40 26
10 Eskilsminne 20 7 4 9 32:37 25
11 Trollhattan 20 6 7 7 28:33 25
12 Skovde 20 5 9 6 20:29 24
13 Kristianstad 20 5 5 10 25:33 20
14 Laholms 20 5 3 12 27:38 18
15 Angelholm 20 3 8 9 25:36 17
16 Utsikten 20 1 5 14 17:49 8
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)