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Roskilde vs Thisted FC

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division 2025/2026
Roskilde Logo

Roskilde

0 - 1
FT
Thisted FC Logo

Thisted FC

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Foe Nuphaus J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Thisted FC in this 2nd Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thisted FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Roskilde
30%
Draws
35%
Thisted FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Thisted FC haven't matched Roskilde's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Roskilde a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2nd Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Roskilde Clean Sheet 10%
Thisted FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roskilde Thisted FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 2nd Division
Thisted FC vs Roskilde
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 2nd Division
Roskilde vs Thisted FC
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 2nd Division
Roskilde vs Thisted FC
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 2nd Division
Thisted FC vs Roskilde
0:0
Nov 18, 2023 2nd Division
Thisted FC vs Roskilde
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roskilde Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Thisted FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Foe Nuphaus J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roskilde 40 / 100
Thisted FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roskilde Thisted FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roskilde went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Roskilde found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Thisted FC conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Roskilde VS Thisted FC
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Roskilde

(Home)
07 Aug
Boldklubben 1893
1 : 2
Roskilde
04 Aug
Handelsstandens Boldklub
0 : 5
Roskilde
31 Jul
Roskilde
2 : 2
Naestved IF
25 Jul
Horsholm-Usserod
3 : 3
Roskilde
18 Jul
Roskilde
2 : 2
Fremad Amager
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Thisted FC

(Away)
08 Aug
Thisted FC
0 : 1
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
04 Aug
Aabybro
1 : 9
Thisted FC
01 Aug
Middelfart
4 : 1
Thisted FC
25 Jul
Thisted FC
2 : 1
Brabrand
18 Jul
Thisted FC
3 : 2
Holstebro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AB Copenhagen 32 23 2 7 81:34 71
2 Vendsyssel FF 32 20 3 9 57:37 63
3 Naestved IF 32 16 6 10 46:42 54
4 Roskilde 32 14 7 11 51:38 49
5 Thisted FC 32 14 6 12 40:33 48
6 Hellerup 32 12 2 18 39:68 38
Promotion - 1st Division (Main)