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Roskilde vs VSK Aarhus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Maarup A.

AI Match Summary

Roskilde in this 2nd Division matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Roskilde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Roskilde
35%
Draws
13%
VSK Aarhus
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Roskilde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Roskilde lately — more wins on the board than VSK Aarhus.
  • Roskilde are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Roskilde Clean Sheet 20%
VSK Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roskilde VSK Aarhus
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 11 9
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.97 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 2nd Division
Roskilde vs VSK Aarhus
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 2nd Division
VSK Aarhus vs Roskilde
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 2nd Division
Roskilde vs VSK Aarhus
5:0
Jun 11, 2022 3rd Division
Roskilde vs VSK Aarhus
5:0
Apr 30, 2022 3rd Division
VSK Aarhus vs Roskilde
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roskilde Compare

Top Goalscorer Maarup A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

VSK Aarhus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roskilde 85 / 100
VSK Aarhus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roskilde VSK Aarhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roskilde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roskilde scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

VSK Aarhus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Roskilde stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Roskilde VS VSK Aarhus
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Roskilde

(Home)
31 Oct
Naestved IF
0 : 0
Roskilde
28 Oct
Roskilde
1 : 2
Aarhus
23 Oct
Roskilde
4 : 0
Fremad Amager
17 Oct
Middelfart
3 : 3
Roskilde
10 Oct
Roskilde
3 : 0
Skive
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VSK Aarhus

(Away)
30 Oct
Skive
4 : 1
VSK Aarhus
24 Oct
VSK Aarhus
2 : 2
Naestved IF
18 Oct
Thisted FC
2 : 2
VSK Aarhus
11 Oct
Nykobing
3 : 1
VSK Aarhus
02 Oct
VSK Aarhus
0 : 2
Brabrand
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nykobing 14 9 4 1 37:16 31
2 Roskilde 14 6 8 0 28:13 26
3 Boldklubben 1893 14 6 3 5 25:20 21
4 Skive 14 6 3 5 22:19 21
5 Naestved IF 14 4 9 1 19:16 21
6 VSK Aarhus 14 5 5 4 20:18 20
7 Fremad Amager 14 5 5 4 18:23 20
8 Middelfart 14 4 7 3 26:21 19
9 Brabrand 14 4 3 7 17:23 15
10 Hellerup 14 4 3 7 13:23 15
11 Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 14 2 3 9 13:28 9
12 Thisted FC 14 1 3 10 12:30 6
Promotion - 2nd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 2nd Division (Relegation Group)