Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Roskilde vs VSK Aarhus

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Maarup A.

AI Match Summary

Roskilde in this 2nd Division matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Roskilde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Roskilde
35%
Draws
34%
VSK Aarhus
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to VSK Aarhus lately — more wins on the board than Roskilde.
  • Roskilde are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Roskilde Clean Sheet 13%
VSK Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roskilde VSK Aarhus
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.57 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 2nd Division
Roskilde vs VSK Aarhus
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 2nd Division
VSK Aarhus vs Roskilde
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 2nd Division
Roskilde vs VSK Aarhus
5:0
Jun 11, 2022 3rd Division
Roskilde vs VSK Aarhus
5:0
Apr 30, 2022 3rd Division
VSK Aarhus vs Roskilde
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roskilde Compare

Top Goalscorer Maarup A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

VSK Aarhus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roskilde 48 / 100
VSK Aarhus 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roskilde VSK Aarhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roskilde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roskilde went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Roskilde's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

VSK Aarhus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Roskilde VS VSK Aarhus
2.38 Goals Scored 2.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Roskilde

(Home)
05 Sept
Roskilde
1 : 0
VSK Aarhus
28 Aug
Nykobing
2 : 2
Roskilde
25 Aug
Saby
0 : 5
Roskilde
21 Aug
Fremad Amager
1 : 1
Roskilde
15 Aug
Roskilde
1 : 1
Middelfart
Page 1 of 6

VSK Aarhus

(Away)
05 Sept
Roskilde
1 : 0
VSK Aarhus
29 Aug
VSK Aarhus
0 : 0
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
26 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 3
VSK Aarhus
23 Aug
Naestved IF
0 : 2
VSK Aarhus
15 Aug
VSK Aarhus
3 : 1
Thisted FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nykobing 6 4 2 0 17:8 14
2 VSK Aarhus 6 4 1 1 10:2 13
3 Middelfart 6 3 2 1 14:7 11
4 Roskilde 6 2 4 0 9:7 10
5 Fremad Amager 7 2 4 1 10:10 10
6 Naestved IF 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
7 Boldklubben 1893 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
8 Skive 6 2 1 3 9:10 7
9 Hellerup 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
10 Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
11 Brabrand 6 1 1 4 7:13 4
12 Thisted FC 6 0 1 5 4:14 1
Promotion - 2nd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 2nd Division (Relegation Group)