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Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2025

Nart Cherkessk

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rostov 2 play Nart Cherkessk in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rostov 2 averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Nart Cherkessk averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. In past meetings, Rostov 2 won 2, Nart Cherkessk won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Rostov 2 and 1.13 for Nart Cherkessk. This points to a Nart Cherkessk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Rostov 2

15%

Draws

47%

Nart Cherkessk

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nart Cherkessk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Rostov 2 picked up more points recently compared to Nart Cherkessk.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 57%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Rostov 2 Clean Sheet 21%

Nart Cherkessk Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 51%

Second Half Goal 54%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rostov 2	Nart Cherkessk
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	16
Draws	5	6
Losses	12	8
Goals Scored	1.57	1.3
Goals Conceded	1.17	0.7
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1

Rostov 2 vs Nart Cherkessk

Possession: 59% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Nov 8, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1

Rostov 2 vs Nart Cherkessk

Possession: 46% - 52% Cards: 0 - 2

0:1

Oct 12, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1

Nart Cherkessk vs Rostov 2

Possession: 41% - 47% Cards: 4 - 4

3:1

Aug 9, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1

Rostov 2 vs Nart Cherkessk

Possession: 40% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

May 10, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1

Nart Cherkessk vs Rostov 2

Possession: 41% - 59% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rostov 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92

Avg xA / game 1.25

Nart Cherkessk Compare

Top Goalscorer Tkhakokhov E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rostov 2 38 / 100

Nart Cherkessk 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rostov 2 Nart Cherkessk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nart Cherkessk or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rostov 2 attacking → ← attacking Nart Cherkessk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rostov 2 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Nart Cherkessk let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Rostov 2 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Nart Cherkessk lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 54

2.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dynamo Stavropol	36	21	10	5	55:32	73
2	FC Sevastopol	36	20	12	4	57:36	72
3	Kuban Kholding	36	16	14	6	56:29	62
4	Nart Cherkessk	36	17	8	11	47:29	59
5	FK Pobeda	36	16	4	16	40:47	52
6	Rostov 2	36	14	7	15	43:37	49