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Rostov 2 vs Rubin Yalta

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rostov 2 play Rubin Yalta in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rostov 2 averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. Rubin Yalta averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. In past meetings, Rostov 2 won 1, Rubin Yalta won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Rostov 2 and 1.38 for Rubin Yalta. This points to a Rostov 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Rostov 2
22%
Draws
37%
Rubin Yalta
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Rostov 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Rostov 2 picked up more points recently compared to Rubin Yalta.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Rostov 2 Clean Sheet 17%
Rubin Yalta Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rostov 2 Rubin Yalta
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rostov 2 vs Rubin Yalta
1:0
Jun 25, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rostov 2 vs Rubin Yalta
0:1
Apr 9, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs Rostov 2
0:0
Aug 17, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs Rostov 2
2:1
Apr 20, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rostov 2 vs Rubin Yalta
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rostov 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Grozovskiy S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Rubin Yalta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rostov 2 40 / 100
Rubin Yalta 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rostov 2 Rubin Yalta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rostov 2 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rostov 2 attacking → ← attacking Rubin Yalta

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rostov 2 scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Rubin Yalta let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Rostov 2 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Rubin Yalta lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 39
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00