Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Dortmund

World World

Club Friendly Niederrheinstadion, Oberhausen
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kesim T. M.
Assist: Schlax L.
44'
Winter N.
45' Event
Lerma J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Rot-Weiss Oberhausen and Dortmund finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dortmund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
33%
Draws
40%
Dortmund
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Dortmund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Rot-Weiss Oberhausen haven't matched Dortmund's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Dortmund's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dortmund have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Clean Sheet 20%
Dortmund Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Dortmund
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 17
Draws 8 4
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Dortmund
1:3
Jul 19, 2023 Club Friendly
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Dortmund
2:3
Jan 18, 2012 Club Friendly
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Dortmund
0:4
Apr 8, 1972 Bundesliga
Dortmund vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
2:1
Oct 13, 1971 Bundesliga
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Dortmund
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kesim T. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Dortmund Compare

Top Goalscorer Lerma J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guirassy S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 28 / 100
Dortmund 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Dortmund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Dortmund let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Rot-Weiss Oberhausen remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen VS Dortmund
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen

(Home)
18 Jul
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
1 : 3
Dortmund
11 Jul
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
5 : 2
Hamburger II
04 Jul
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
2 : 3
Bochum
30 Jun
Waalwijk
2 : 1
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
16 May
Bocholt
2 : 2
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
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Dortmund

(Away)
18 Jul
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
1 : 3
Dortmund
16 May
Werder Bremen
0 : 2
Dortmund
08 May
Dortmund
3 : 2
Eintracht Frankfurt
03 May
B. Monchengladbach
1 : 0
Dortmund
26 Apr
Dortmund
4 : 0
Freiburg
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