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Stadium Background

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Dortmund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly Niederrheinstadion, Oberhausen
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kesim T. M.
Assist: Schlax L.
44'
Winter N.
45' Event
Lerma J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Rot-Weiss Oberhausen and Dortmund finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dortmund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
15%
Draws
44%
Dortmund
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dortmund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Dortmund have managed 2 goals a game lately — Rot-Weiss Oberhausen are scoring more at 2.24.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dortmund have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Clean Sheet 20%
Dortmund Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Dortmund
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 17
Draws 6 3
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.24 2
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Dortmund
1:3
Jul 19, 2023 Club Friendly
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Dortmund
2:3
Jan 18, 2012 Club Friendly
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Dortmund
0:4
Apr 8, 1972 Bundesliga
Dortmund vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
2:1
Oct 13, 1971 Bundesliga
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Dortmund
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kesim T. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Dortmund Compare

Top Goalscorer Lerma J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guirassy S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 31 / 100
Dortmund 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Dortmund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Dortmund let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Rot-Weiss Oberhausen remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen VS Dortmund
3.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen

(Home)
10 Oct
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
3 : 1
Bocholt
04 Oct
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
4 : 0
Paderborn II
27 Sept
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
2 : 1
Rodinghausen
24 Sept
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
2 : 5
Schalke
19 Sept
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
3 : 1
B. Monchengladbach II
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Dortmund

(Away)
09 Oct
Dortmund
2 : 2
Werder Bremen
19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 1
Dortmund
12 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 0
Paderborn
08 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 2
Villarreal
05 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 3
Dortmund
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