Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Fortuna Koln

Germany Germany

Regionalliga West Niederrheinstadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen play Fortuna Koln in the Regionalliga West. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rot-Weiss Oberhausen averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Fortuna Koln averaged 1.96 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Rot-Weiss Oberhausen won 1, Fortuna Koln won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 7, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Rot-Weiss Oberhausen and 1.00 for Fortuna Koln. This points to a Fortuna Koln double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
40%
Draws
30%
Fortuna Koln
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Fortuna Koln

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Rot-Weiss Oberhausen picked up more points recently compared to Fortuna Koln.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Clean Sheet 23%
Fortuna Koln Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Fortuna Koln
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 16
Draws 8 9
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 1.9 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Regionalliga West
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Fortuna Koln
1:3
Aug 16, 2025 Regionalliga West
Fortuna Koln vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
5:1
Apr 4, 2025 Regionalliga West
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Fortuna Koln
2:0
Oct 12, 2024 Regionalliga West
Fortuna Koln vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
3:1
Mar 2, 2024 Regionalliga West
Fortuna Koln vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngyombo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Fortuna Koln Compare

Top Goalscorer Stanilewicz A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Ghaddioui H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 32 / 100
Fortuna Koln 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Fortuna Koln

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fortuna Koln or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen attacking → ← attacking Fortuna Koln

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Fortuna Koln let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Fortuna Koln lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 57
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fortuna Koln342010471:3070
2Rot-Weiss Oberhausen34199660:4066
3Schalke II34187977:5061
4Gutersloh341611755:4059
5Dortmund II341610866:5058
6B. Monchengladbach II341771061:4658
7Siegen341412862:4354
8Paderborn II3412101252:3846
9Bonner3412101238:4246
10Koln II341361555:6345
11Lotte3411121145:5545
12Dusseldorf II341171647:5840
13Bocholt341091549:5739
14Bochum II349121350:6239
15Rodinghausen34781946:6329
16Wiedenbruck34781939:6529
17Wuppertaler345111836:7026
18SSVg Velbert34672135:7225