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Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Straelen

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen play Straelen in the Club Friendly 2023. Rot-Weiss Oberhausen are favorites here. Recently, Rot-Weiss Oberhausen averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Straelen averaged 2 goals scored and 1.08 conceded. In past meetings, Rot-Weiss Oberhausen won 3, Straelen won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 22, 2023 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Rot-Weiss Oberhausen and 1.00 for Straelen. This points to a Rot-Weiss Oberhausen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
25%
Draws
15%
Straelen
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Rot-Weiss Oberhausen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Rot-Weiss Oberhausen picked up more points recently compared to Straelen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Clean Sheet 23%
Straelen Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Straelen
Matches Played 29 12
Wins 15 7
Draws 8 1
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.9 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.08

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Straelen
1:1
Jan 24, 2023 Club Friendly
Straelen vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
1:2
Jan 21, 2023 Club Friendly
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Straelen
0:0
Dec 10, 2022 Regionalliga West
Straelen vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
0:4
Aug 6, 2022 Regionalliga West
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Straelen
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruzgis M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Straelen Compare

Top Goalscorer Hirsch T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 59 / 100
Straelen 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Straelen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Rot-Weiss Oberhausen & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen attacking → ← attacking Straelen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Straelen let in goals in 58% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Straelen lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 22
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00