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Rotena vs Cabecense

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2015/2016 game between Rotena and Cabecense finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rotena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Rotena
20%
Draws
29%
Cabecense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rotena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cabecense come out ahead of Rotena on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Rotena taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Rotena Clean Sheet 20%
Cabecense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rotena Cabecense
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 8 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.2 1
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Rotena vs Cabecense
4:3
Oct 11, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs Rotena
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotena 36 / 100
Cabecense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rotena Cabecense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Rotena scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Cabecense conceded in 76% of 41 recent games.

Recent resilience: Rotena stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cabecense
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotena

(Home)
28 Aug
Portuense
1 : 2
Rotena
01 Aug
Rotena
0 : 6
Xerez CD
03 Aug
Rotena
1 : 6
Cadiz
15 May
Rotena
0 : 0
Sanluqueno
08 May
Ciudad de Lucena
0 : 2
Rotena
Page 1 of 6

Cabecense

(Away)
12 May
Ciudad de Lucena
3 : 0
Cabecense
05 May
Cabecense
1 : 1
Ayamonte
01 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 0
Cabecense
27 Apr
Cabecense
2 : 1
La Palma CF
21 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
4 : 0
Cabecense
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cordoba B 40 27 4 9 90:42 85
2 Sanluqueno 40 23 10 7 71:34 79
3 CD San Fernando 40 21 12 7 69:30 75
4 CD Alcala 40 21 10 9 59:33 73
5 CD Gerena 40 16 13 11 65:46 61
6 AD Ceuta 40 14 16 10 47:43 58
7 Arcos CF 40 15 13 12 44:43 58
8 Sevilla C 40 13 16 11 43:44 55
9 Castilleja CF 40 15 10 15 49:54 55
10 Los Barrios 40 16 7 17 54:56 55
11 CD Guadalcacin 40 13 15 12 42:50 54
12 Ecija 40 14 10 16 58:54 52
13 CD Utrera 40 14 10 16 70:76 52
14 San Roque de Cadiz 40 12 14 14 46:52 50
15 Lebrijana 40 13 10 17 45:59 49
16 Cabecense 40 12 13 15 49:57 49
17 Coria C.F. 40 10 18 12 38:39 48
18 CMD San Juan 40 14 6 20 42:53 48
19 Conil 40 10 9 21 41:65 39
20 Rotena 40 9 9 22 43:73 36
21 Ciudad de Lucena 40 2 7 31 19:81 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)