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Rotena vs CD Guadalcacin

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2015/2016
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2015/2016 game between Rotena and CD Guadalcacin finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rotena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Rotena
15%
Draws
0%
CD Guadalcacin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rotena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rotena come out ahead of CD Guadalcacin on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Rotena taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Rotena Clean Sheet 20%
CD Guadalcacin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rotena CD Guadalcacin
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 2
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 25
Goals Scored 1.2 0.45
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Rotena vs CD Guadalcacin
1:0
Oct 31, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Guadalcacin vs Rotena
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotena 67 / 100
CD Guadalcacin 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rotena CD Guadalcacin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rotena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Guadalcacin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.

CD Guadalcacin's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Rotena's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Rotena VS CD Guadalcacin
2 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotena

(Home)
28 Aug
Portuense
1 : 2
Rotena
01 Aug
Rotena
0 : 6
Xerez CD
03 Aug
Rotena
1 : 6
Cadiz
15 May
Rotena
0 : 0
Sanluqueno
08 May
Ciudad de Lucena
0 : 2
Rotena
Page 1 of 6

CD Guadalcacin

(Away)
17 Aug
CD Guadalcacin
1 : 4
Antoniano
19 May
CD Guadalcacin
0 : 1
Ecija
11 May
Los Barrios
7 : 1
CD Guadalcacin
05 May
CD Guadalcacin
0 : 1
Cadiz B
28 Apr
Xerez CD
3 : 0
CD Guadalcacin
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cordoba B 40 27 4 9 90:42 85
2 Sanluqueno 40 23 10 7 71:34 79
3 CD San Fernando 40 21 12 7 69:30 75
4 CD Alcala 40 21 10 9 59:33 73
5 CD Gerena 40 16 13 11 65:46 61
6 AD Ceuta 40 14 16 10 47:43 58
7 Arcos CF 40 15 13 12 44:43 58
8 Sevilla C 40 13 16 11 43:44 55
9 Castilleja CF 40 15 10 15 49:54 55
10 Los Barrios 40 16 7 17 54:56 55
11 CD Guadalcacin 40 13 15 12 42:50 54
12 Ecija 40 14 10 16 58:54 52
13 CD Utrera 40 14 10 16 70:76 52
14 San Roque de Cadiz 40 12 14 14 46:52 50
15 Lebrijana 40 13 10 17 45:59 49
16 Cabecense 40 12 13 15 49:57 49
17 Coria C.F. 40 10 18 12 38:39 48
18 CMD San Juan 40 14 6 20 42:53 48
19 Conil 40 10 9 21 41:65 39
20 Rotena 40 9 9 22 43:73 36
21 Ciudad de Lucena 40 2 7 31 19:81 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)