Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rotenburger vs Holstein Kiel

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Fridjonsson H.
47' Event
Arp F.
53' Event
Arp F.

AI Match Summary

Holstein Kiel in this Club Friendly 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Holstein Kiel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Rotenburger
30%
Draws
39%
Holstein Kiel
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Holstein Kiel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Holstein Kiel lately — more wins on the board than Rotenburger.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Holstein Kiel taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Rotenburger Clean Sheet 16%
Holstein Kiel Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rotenburger Holstein Kiel
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1 1.36
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2023 Club Friendly
Rotenburger vs Holstein Kiel
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rotenburger Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Holstein Kiel Compare

Top Goalscorer Arp F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fridjonsson H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotenburger 10 / 100
Holstein Kiel 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rotenburger Holstein Kiel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holstein Kiel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holstein Kiel has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Rotenburger scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Rotenburger stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Holstein Kiel
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotenburger

(Home)
18 Jan
Werder Bremen II
6 : 1
Rotenburger
19 Jan
Rotenburger
0 : 7
Werder Bremen II
20 May
Rotenburger
1 : 1
Vorsfelde
17 May
Rotenburger
3 : 0
Hildesheim
15 May
Eintracht Celle
4 : 2
Rotenburger
Page 1 of 6

Holstein Kiel

(Away)
19 Sept
Holstein Kiel
1 : 1
VfL Osnabruck
13 Sept
Heidenheim
1 : 0
Holstein Kiel
05 Sept
Holstein Kiel
2 : 2
Nurnberg
30 Aug
Magdeburg
2 : 0
Holstein Kiel
22 Aug
Munich 1860
0 : 2
Holstein Kiel
Page 1 of 6