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Rotherham vs Bradford City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

EFL Trophy Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Swan W.
Assist: O'Keeffe C.
11' Event
Humphrys S.
17'
Buyabu J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. The second leg ended 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Rotherham
20%
Draws
52%
Bradford City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bradford City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Bradford City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Bradford City taking it.
  • Bradford City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bradford City, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Rotherham Clean Sheet 19%
Bradford City Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rotherham Bradford City
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 7 17
Draws 10 6
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.94 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.61 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 EFL Trophy
Rotherham vs Bradford City
0:4
Feb 24, 2026 League One
Bradford City vs Rotherham
1:0
Oct 2, 2025 League One
Rotherham vs Bradford City
2:2
Feb 4, 2025 EFL Trophy
Rotherham vs Bradford City
0:1
Nov 19, 2024 EFL Trophy
Bradford City vs Rotherham
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rotherham Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Bradford City Compare

Top Goalscorer Swan W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Humphrys S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotherham 10 / 100
Bradford City 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rotherham Bradford City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bradford City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rotherham scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Bradford City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Rotherham remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rotherham VS Bradford City
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotherham

(Home)
06 Oct
Rotherham
0 : 4
Bradford City
03 Oct
Exeter
1 : 0
Rotherham
26 Sept
Rotherham
1 : 1
Crewe
22 Sept
York City
1 : 2
Rotherham
19 Sept
Northampton
0 : 1
Rotherham
Page 1 of 7

Bradford City

(Away)
06 Oct
Rotherham
0 : 4
Bradford City
03 Oct
Reading
1 : 1
Bradford City
22 Sept
Bradford City
2 : 1
Newcastle Utd U21
19 Sept
Luton
0 : 1
Bradford City
12 Sept
Notts County
0 : 1
Bradford City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Wed 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Accrington 2 2 0 0 4:4 4
3 Salford 2 0 0 2 2:3 1
4 Sunderland U21 2 0 0 2 3:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
2 Crewe 2 1 0 1 6:3 4
3 Blackpool 2 1 0 1 4:5 2
4 Aston Villa U21 2 0 0 2 3:7 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bradford City 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Newcastle Utd U21 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Rotherham 2 1 0 1 1:5 2
4 York City 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chesterfield 2 2 0 0 6:4 5
2 Port Vale 2 1 0 1 3:1 4
3 Manchester City U21 2 1 0 1 7:6 3
4 Mansfield 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stockport County 2 2 0 0 8:3 6
2 Tranmere 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Everton U21 1 0 0 1 3:6 0
4 Shrewsbury 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Notts County 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Burton 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
3 Nottingham U21 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
4 Grimsby 2 0 0 2 1:2 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fleetwood Town 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
2 Leeds U21 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
3 Oldham 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Barnsley 2 0 0 2 4:8 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Doncaster 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Liverpool U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
4 Rochdale 2 0 0 2 3:8 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Exeter 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Cheltenham 1 1 0 0 2:2 2
3 Oxford Utd 1 0 0 1 2:2 1
4 Tottenham U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stevenage 2 2 0 0 8:2 6
2 Leicester 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
3 Walsall 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
4 Fulham U21 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wycombe 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
2 Reading 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
3 Chelsea U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
4 Bristol Rovers 2 0 0 2 3:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Luton 2 2 0 0 7:1 5
3 Colchester 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
4 Ipswich U21 2 0 0 2 1:10 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 2 2 0 0 7:3 5
2 Newport 2 1 0 1 4:2 4
3 Crystal Palace U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
4 Swindon 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 2 2 0 0 5:1 5
2 Arsenal U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
3 AFC Wimbledon 2 0 0 2 1:1 2
4 Leyton Orient 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cambridge Utd 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Brighton U21 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Gillingham 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
4 Northampton 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 2 2 0 0 11:2 6
2 Crawley Town 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
3 Brentford U21 2 1 0 1 2:7 3
4 Bromley 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)