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Stadium Background

Rotherham vs Crewe Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

League Two Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Stephenson J.
21' Event
Iorfa D.
Own Goal
41'
Bradshaw T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Rotherham
35%
Draws
30%
Crewe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crewe lately — more wins on the board than Rotherham.
  • Rotherham are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Rotherham here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Rotherham Clean Sheet 17%
Crewe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rotherham Crewe
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 10 10
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 League Two
Rotherham vs Crewe
1:1
Aug 13, 2024 EFL Cup
Rotherham vs Crewe
2:1
Jul 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Crewe vs Rotherham
1:2
Jan 29, 2022 League One
Crewe vs Rotherham
0:2
Jan 4, 2022 EFL Trophy
Crewe vs Rotherham
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rotherham Compare

Top Goalscorer Mullin P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Crewe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotherham 36 / 100
Crewe 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rotherham Crewe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Rotherham scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Crewe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Rotherham remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rotherham VS Crewe
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotherham

(Home)
26 Sept
Rotherham
1 : 1
Crewe
22 Sept
York City
1 : 2
Rotherham
19 Sept
Northampton
0 : 1
Rotherham
12 Sept
Rotherham
3 : 3
Salford
05 Sept
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0
Rotherham
Page 1 of 6

Crewe

(Away)
26 Sept
Rotherham
1 : 1
Crewe
22 Sept
Crewe
4 : 1
Aston Villa U21
19 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1
Shrewsbury
12 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1
Crewe
05 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1
York City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 7 4 3 0 17:10 15
2 Cheltenham 8 4 3 1 16:12 15
3 Bristol Rovers 8 5 0 3 13:11 15
4 York City 8 4 2 2 16:10 14
5 Walsall 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
6 Grimsby 8 3 4 1 12:8 13
7 Salford 8 4 1 3 12:10 13
8 Gillingham 8 3 3 2 11:9 12
9 Crewe 8 2 6 0 8:6 12
10 Tranmere 8 2 5 1 10:8 11
11 Chesterfield 8 3 2 3 11:10 11
12 Swindon 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
13 Rotherham 8 2 4 2 11:11 10
14 Fleetwood Town 8 2 4 2 9:9 10
15 Colchester 8 2 4 2 10:12 10
16 Rochdale 8 3 1 4 9:11 10
17 Newport 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
18 Shrewsbury 8 2 2 4 7:13 8
19 Accrington 8 1 4 3 11:14 7
20 Oldham 8 2 1 5 9:13 7
21 Exeter 8 1 3 4 4:6 6
22 Northampton 7 1 3 3 3:6 6
23 Port Vale 7 1 2 4 3:9 5
24 Crawley Town 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)