Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rotherham vs Derby

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Szmodics S.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Szmodics S. In: Blackett-Taylor C.
Out: Szmodics S.
46'
Sub
Taylor C. In: Forsyth C.
Out: Taylor C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Rotherham
30%
Draws
23%
Derby
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rotherham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / High Confidence
  • Rotherham haven't matched Derby's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Rotherham's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Rotherham Clean Sheet 17%
Derby Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rotherham Derby
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 8 2
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2021 Championship
Rotherham vs Derby
3:0
Jan 16, 2021 Championship
Derby vs Rotherham
0:1
Mar 30, 2019 Championship
Derby vs Rotherham
6:1
Sep 15, 2018 Championship
Rotherham vs Derby
1:0
May 7, 2017 Championship
Rotherham vs Derby
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rotherham Compare

Top Goalscorer Ashley O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Derby Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotherham 48 / 100
Derby 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rotherham Derby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derby let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Rotherham has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Derby has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rotherham VS Derby
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotherham

(Home)
04 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 1
Derby
28 Jul
Darlington FC
0 : 2
Rotherham
25 Jul
Rotherham
0 : 2
Sheffield Utd
21 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 1
Rotherham
18 Jul
Matlock
1 : 1
Rotherham
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Derby

(Away)
04 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 1
Derby
01 Aug
Burton
1 : 0
Derby
31 Jul
Mansfield
1 : 3
Derby
28 Jul
Derby
1 : 2
Valencia
24 Jul
Freiburg
3 : 1
Derby
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