Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rotherham vs Gillingham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rotherham host Gillingham in the League Two. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Rotherham have averaged 0.94 scored and 1.61 conceded recently, against Gillingham's 1.1 scored and 1.72 conceded. Past meetings favor Rotherham slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 30, 2022, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.38) point toward Rotherham. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Rotherham
20%
Draws
40%
Gillingham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Gillingham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Rotherham a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Rotherham have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Rotherham Clean Sheet 17%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rotherham Gillingham
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.94 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2022 League One
Gillingham vs Rotherham
0:2
Dec 7, 2021 League One
Rotherham vs Gillingham
5:1
Mar 29, 2020 League One
Rotherham vs Gillingham
0:0
Nov 2, 2019 League One
Gillingham vs Rotherham
0:3
Apr 17, 2018 League One
Gillingham vs Rotherham
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotherham 41 / 100
Gillingham 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rotherham Gillingham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rotherham scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Gillingham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Rotherham stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rotherham VS Gillingham
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotherham

(Home)
06 Oct
Rotherham
0 : 4
Bradford City
03 Oct
Exeter
1 : 0
Rotherham
26 Sept
Rotherham
1 : 1
Crewe
22 Sept
York City
1 : 2
Rotherham
19 Sept
Northampton
0 : 1
Rotherham
Page 1 of 7

Gillingham

(Away)
03 Oct
Gillingham
0 : 0
Newport
26 Sept
York City
3 : 0
Gillingham
22 Sept
Gillingham
1 : 4
Cambridge Utd
19 Sept
Gillingham
3 : 0
Bristol Rovers
12 Sept
Gillingham
2 : 0
Tranmere
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 9 5 1 3 13:10 16
2 Barnet 7 4 3 0 17:10 15
3 Crewe 9 3 6 0 11:7 15
4 Cheltenham 9 4 3 2 16:14 15
5 Bristol Rovers 9 5 0 4 14:14 15
6 York City 8 4 2 2 16:10 14
7 Walsall 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
8 Chesterfield 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
9 Grimsby 9 3 4 2 13:10 13
10 Gillingham 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
11 Rochdale 9 4 1 4 10:11 13
12 Tranmere 9 2 5 2 12:12 11
13 Swindon 9 3 2 4 9:13 11
14 Shrewsbury 9 3 2 4 9:14 11
15 Newport 9 2 4 3 12:12 10
16 Accrington 9 2 4 3 13:14 10
17 Rotherham 9 2 4 3 11:12 10
18 Fleetwood Town 9 2 4 3 9:10 10
19 Colchester 8 2 4 2 10:12 10
20 Exeter 9 2 3 4 5:6 9
21 Oldham 8 2 1 5 9:13 7
22 Northampton 7 1 3 3 3:6 6
23 Port Vale 7 1 2 4 3:9 5
24 Crawley Town 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)